Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
Julián Álvarez
56'
V. Gyökeres
44'
Predictions
Double chance : draw or Arsenal
Atletico Madrid have been struggling lately, losing three of their last five matches. Their form has been poor, and they have conceded several goals in recent outings. Arsenal have also had a tough run, with two losses in their last five games and a draw, which leaves them in a rocky patch as well. When these two teams met earlier this season, Arsenal won comfortably with a 4-0 scoreline, suggesting that the match could see a few goals again.
Both sides are not at their best, but Arsenal have looked a bit stronger overall, especially in that previous meeting. The match is quite evenly balanced, making a draw a very possible result. However, given their recent head-to-head and slight edge in form, Arsenal have a good chance to avoid defeat. This looks like a tight contest where a draw or a narrow win for Arsenal is the most likely outcome.
Last Updated: 27 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid 
Robin Le Normand
' Out: Giuliano Simeone
46
A. Baena
77' Out: Julián Álvarez
77
N. Molina
' Out: Johnny Cardoso
88
Substitutes for Arsenal
Eberechi Eze
' Out: M. Odegaard
58
L. Trossard
' Out: G. Martinelli
68
B. Saka
' Out: N. Madueke
68
Gabriel Jesus
69' Out: V. Gyökeres
69
C. Mosquera
' Out: B. White
86
REFEREE
D. Makkelie
- Arsenal hold a 100% winning record in the sole H2H clash, a dominant 4-0 victory on October 21, 2025.
- Atletico Madrid have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions, entering this tie in poor form.
- Arsenal are winless in their last three away games, with back-to-back defeats including a 1-0 loss on April 25.
- Data suggests a tightly contested affair: the prediction favors a draw or Arsenal win at odds of 1.45 (1xBet).
- The pre-match model gives Arsenal a 60% overall advantage, significantly boosted by their superior defense (73% vs. 27%).
- Despite their poor form, Atletico hold a strong 67% attacking advantage in the prediction comparison.
- Both teams average similar goal tallies, but Arsenal edge ahead with 1.90 avg_goals per game compared to Atletico's 1.72.
- Arsenal dominate possession stats, averaging nearly 56%, while Atletico sit just above 50%.
- Median stats indicate Arsenal will face a higher number of shots (19 vs. 11) but could struggle with discipline, averaging 2 yellow cards.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favors Arsenal (82% vs. 18%), hinting at a higher expected goal output for the visitors.
- Both teams have recent struggles, but Arsenal's defensive solidity (73%) may be the deciding factor in a low-scoring affair.
- This UEFA Champions League clash is set for April 29, 2026, with kickoff at 19:00 GMT at an unknown venue.
0/
1/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
12
Corners
9
29
Fouls
34
2
Offsides
4
38
Shots
43
7
Shots on Goal
12
6
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goals
6
6
Goals Conceded
1
0
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for ATL 
La Liga 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Villarreal
5
L
La Liga 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Girona
0
W
La Liga 2025-2026
12 MAY, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Osasuna
1
W
La Liga 2025-2026
09 MAY, 2026
Atletico Madrid
0
Celta Vigo
1
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
05 MAY, 2026
Atletico Madrid
0
Arsenal
1
L
La Liga 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Valencia
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
29 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Arsenal
1
D
La Liga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
3
Athletic Club
2
W
La Liga 2025-2026
22 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Elche
3
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
14 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Barcelona
2
L
Last matches for ARS
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
30 MAY, 2026
Arsenal
1
Paris Saint Germain
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Arsenal
2
Crystal Palace
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
18 MAY, 2026
Arsenal
1
Burnley
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
Arsenal
1
West Ham
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
05 MAY, 2026
Arsenal
1
Atletico Madrid
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Arsenal
3
Fulham
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
29 APR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Atletico Madrid
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Newcastle
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Manchester City
2
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
15 APR, 2026
Arsenal
0
Sporting CP
0
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
