Arsenal vs Burnley

Arsenal
w d w w w
1 - 0
1.03
xG
0.21
Full Time
Burnley
l l l l d
K. Havertz
37'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Arsenal

Arsenal are heading into this match at the Emirates Stadium in pretty poor form, having lost three of their last five games and only managed one win. Burnley, on the other hand, have had a mixed run, with a couple of wins and draws recently, but also some tough losses. Looking back at recent meetings between these two sides, the matches have often been very one-sided, with Arsenal winning most of them and scoring several goals, including a 5-0 victory not too long ago. Those games have tended to see quite a few goals go in.

Given how much Arsenal have dominated this fixture in the past and that they are playing at home, this match looks like it should be a fairly straightforward win for Arsenal, even though they haven't been at their best lately. Burnley have struggled to get positive results away from home, and their recent record against Arsenal suggests this could be another tough afternoon for them.

Last Updated: 16 May 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
Ā 
David Raya
Ā 
R. Calafiori
Ā 
Gabriel
Ā 
W. Saliba
Ā 
C. Mosquera
Ā 
Eberechi Eze
Ā 
D. Rice
Ā 
M. Odegaard
Ā 
L. Trossard
7.3
Ā 
K. Havertz
Ā 
B. Saka
Ā 
M. Weiss
6.9
Ā 
Lucas Pires
Ā 
M. Esteve
Ā 
A. Tuanzebe
Ā 
K. Walker
Ā 
L. Ugochukwu
Ā 
Florentino
Ā 
J. Anthony
5.9
Ā 
H. Mejbri
Ā 
L. Tchaouna
6.7
Ā 
Z. Flemming
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Arsenal
P. Hincapie
' Out: R. Calafiori
72
V. Gyƶkeres
73' Out: K. Havertz
73
M. Lewis-Skelly
' Out: Eberechi Eze
73
G. Martinelli
' Out: L. Trossard
90
M. Zubimendi
' Out: M. Odegaard
90
Substitutes for Burnley
Z. Amdouni
70' Out: H. Mejbri
70
J. Laurent
' Out: L. Ugochukwu
71
J. Ward-Prowse
' Out: Florentino
78
B. Humphreys
' Out: M. Esteve
82
J. Bruun Larsen
' Out: L. Tchaouna
82
statistics
61 Ball Possession 39
1 Goals 0
1.03 Expected Goals 0.21
match facts

REFEREE

P. Tierney

STADIUM

Emirates Stadium

LOCATION

London

  • The Premier League 2025-2026 clash at the Emirates Stadium has Arsenal clear favorites with a 50% win prediction against Burnley's 0%.
  • Arsenal have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning 5 of the last 7 meetings, including a 5-0 thrashing of Burnley in February 2024.
  • Burnley have not beaten Arsenal in their last 4 encounters, with their last victory coming in November 2023 (3-1).
  • Arsenal average 1.91 goals per game this season, while Burnley struggle with just 0.95, highlighting a significant attacking disparity.
  • Despite Burnley's lower average possession (42.7%), their median possession is 54%, suggesting they can control spells against bigger sides.
  • The Gunners have lost three of their last five matches (W1, D1, L3), showing a dip in form heading into this fixture.
  • Burnley's away form is mixed, with two wins and two losses in their last five, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent road outing.
  • Burnley's median shots per game (12) suggest they can create chances, but their low average goals (0.95) indicate poor finishing.
  • Arsenal's median shots (16) and high possession (55.9% avg.) point to a team that should control the game at home.
  • Betano offers the highest odds for an Arsenal home win at just 1.11, reflecting the bookmakers' confidence in a victory.
  • Prediction comparisons heavily favor Arsenal in defense (75%) and attack (64%), while Burnley’s best chance lies in form (10%).
  • The Poisson distribution gives Arsenal an 87% chance of scoring more, while Burnley's chance is a mere 13%.
Last Updated: 16 May 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
59 Corners 29
70 Fouls 84
13 Offsides 18
123 Shots 71
41 Shots on Goal 16
7 Yellow Cards 14
2 Red Cards 0
13 Goals 3
3 Goals Conceded 13
5 Clean Sheets 2
premier league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
38
26
7
5
44
85
#19
38
4
10
24
-37
22