Arsenal vs Burnley
Winner : Arsenal
Arsenal are heading into this match at the Emirates Stadium in pretty poor form, having lost three of their last five games and only managed one win. Burnley, on the other hand, have had a mixed run, with a couple of wins and draws recently, but also some tough losses. Looking back at recent meetings between these two sides, the matches have often been very one-sided, with Arsenal winning most of them and scoring several goals, including a 5-0 victory not too long ago. Those games have tended to see quite a few goals go in.
Given how much Arsenal have dominated this fixture in the past and that they are playing at home, this match looks like it should be a fairly straightforward win for Arsenal, even though they haven't been at their best lately. Burnley have struggled to get positive results away from home, and their recent record against Arsenal suggests this could be another tough afternoon for them.
Last Updated: 16 May 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Arsenal
Substitutes for Burnley REFEREE
P. Tierney
STADIUM
Emirates Stadium
LOCATION
London
- The Premier League 2025-2026 clash at the Emirates Stadium has Arsenal clear favorites with a 50% win prediction against Burnley's 0%.
- Arsenal have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning 5 of the last 7 meetings, including a 5-0 thrashing of Burnley in February 2024.
- Burnley have not beaten Arsenal in their last 4 encounters, with their last victory coming in November 2023 (3-1).
- Arsenal average 1.91 goals per game this season, while Burnley struggle with just 0.95, highlighting a significant attacking disparity.
- Despite Burnley's lower average possession (42.7%), their median possession is 54%, suggesting they can control spells against bigger sides.
- The Gunners have lost three of their last five matches (W1, D1, L3), showing a dip in form heading into this fixture.
- Burnley's away form is mixed, with two wins and two losses in their last five, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent road outing.
- Burnley's median shots per game (12) suggest they can create chances, but their low average goals (0.95) indicate poor finishing.
- Arsenal's median shots (16) and high possession (55.9% avg.) point to a team that should control the game at home.
- Betano offers the highest odds for an Arsenal home win at just 1.11, reflecting the bookmakers' confidence in a victory.
- Prediction comparisons heavily favor Arsenal in defense (75%) and attack (64%), while Burnleyās best chance lies in form (10%).
- The Poisson distribution gives Arsenal an 87% chance of scoring more, while Burnley's chance is a mere 13%.
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
Premier League 2023-2024
Arsenal
Premier League 2023-2024
Burnley
Premier League 2021-2022
Burnley
Premier League 2021-2022
Arsenal
Premier League 2020-2021
Arsenal
Premier League 2020-2021
Burnley
Last matches for ARS
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
Paris Saint Germain
1
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
2
Crystal Palace
1
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
Burnley
0
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
West Ham
0
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
Atletico Madrid
0
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
3
Fulham
0
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
Atletico Madrid
1
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
Newcastle
0
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
Manchester City
2
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Arsenal
0
Sporting CP
0
Last matches for BUR
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
1
Wolves
1
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
0
Arsenal
1
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
2
Aston Villa
2
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
1
Leeds
3
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
0
Manchester City
1
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
1
Nottingham Forest
4
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
0
Brighton
2
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
1
Fulham
3
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
0
Bournemouth
0
Premier League 2025-2026
Burnley
0
Everton
2
