Vasco DA Gama vs Santos
Double chance : draw or Santos
Vasco da Gama is hosting Santos in a Serie A match. Vasco is in a rough patch, drawing their last three games (including two 0-0s) and losing the one before that, so they are struggling to find wins and their attack looks very quiet. Santos, on the other hand, are in better shape, coming off a strong away win and having mixed results recently, but they look more solid overall.
The recent meetings between these two have been high-scoring, with results like 2-1, 4-1, and 2-2, so there is a history of open games. However, this match looks very close, with both teams creating similar chances. Despite that, Santos' better recent form and stronger attack suggest they have the edge. I believe this will end in a draw or a narrow Santos win.
Last Updated: 14 Aug 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
Substitutes for Santos REFEREE
L. Casagrande
- This Serie A clash at Vasco da Gama's ground is expected to be extremely tight, with both teams holding an equal 45% chance of winning according to the prediction model.
- Santos enter the match in better form, with their latest victory (2-0) on the road contrasting with Vasco's three consecutive draws at home.
- The betting markets favour the visitors, with the "Draw or Santos" double chance being the safest bet at odds of 1.87 with Betano.
- Despite the predicted outcome, home advantage matters in this fixture historically—Vasco have taken 40% of the points in their last five head-to-head meetings.
- Santos have lost their last two matches against Vasco at this venue, including a 2-1 defeat in their most recent meeting in February 2026.
- Goal-scoring is likely to be scarce, as both teams average just over one goal per game (Vasco: 1.13, Santos: 1.15) this season.
- The last three encounters between these two sides saw the home team win each time, creating a potential trap for Santos backers despite their superior form.
- Vasco's recent draws are not attacking masterclasses—three of their last four games finished 0-0 or 1-1, showing a defensive approach.
- Santos' away form tells a contrasting story: they've scored in every match on the road, but their defence has leaked goals in defeats, with back-to-back losses in May and July.
- The match appears midfield-dominated, with possession split almost evenly in overall stats (50.68% vs 50.73%), but a key quirk is that the median possession stats show Santos dominating with 59% in their last games.
- Statistical analysis gives Santos a clear edge in attack, with a staggering 89% advantage in attacking output compared to Vasco's 11%.
- Both sides are evenly matched at the back, yet Vasco's defensive record (63% advantage) provides their best hope of earning a point against Santos' offensive power.
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2023-2024
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2023-2024
Santos
Serie A 2020-2021
Santos
Serie A 2020-2021
Vasco DA Gama
Last matches for VAS
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
2
Gremio
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Fluminense
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
3
Cruzeiro
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Palmeiras
4
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Santos
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Bahia
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Chapecoense-sc
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Mirassol
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Atletico-MG
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
RB Bragantino
3
Last matches for SAN
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
2
Cruzeiro
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
3
Internacional
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
1
Corinthians
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
1
Mirassol
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
3
Vasco DA Gama
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
0
Atletico Paranaense
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
0
Sao Paulo
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
2
Chapecoense-sc
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
1
Botafogo
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Santos
3
Vitoria
1
