Botafogo vs Gremio

Botafogo
l l l d d
3 - 2
0.89
xG
0.57
Full Time
Gremio
l l w l l
Danilo
30'
Á. Montoro
52'
Danilo
79'
Jovane
36'
Gustavo Martins
88'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Botafogo or draw

Botafogo come into this match having drawn their last two games, so they are not losing but they are also finding it hard to get wins. Gremio have had a rough run of results, losing several matches in a row recently, though they did manage a win in their most recent game. When these two teams have met in recent years, the games have often produced plenty of goals, including a high-scoring match earlier this year, so it would not be surprising to see an open game with chances for both sides.

Overall, this looks like a close match that could easily end in a draw. Botafogo are not in great form but they are hard to beat at the moment, while Gremio have been struggling for consistency. A draw or a narrow Botafogo win seems the most likely outcome.

Last Updated: 14 Sep 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
Gabriel Batista
 
Alex Telles
 
L. Monzón
 
Arthur Chaves
 
Vitinho
8.7
 
Danilo
 
Huguinho
8.9
 
Á. Montoro
 
Edenilson
 
Júnior Santos
 
Arthur Cabral
 
Weverton
 
Caio Paulista
 
Wallace
7.6
 
Gustavo Martins
 
Diego Caito
7.7
 
Jovane
 
F. Krovinovic
 
C. Pavon
 
Carlos Vinicius
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Botafogo
' Out: L. Monzón
46
85' Out: Á. Montoro
85
Substitutes for Gremio
60' Out: Jovane
60
' Out: C. Pavon
78
78
statistics
36 Ball Possession 64
3 Goals 2
0.89 Expected Goals 0.57
match facts

REFEREE

E. Alves Batista

STADIUM

Estádio Nilton Santos

LOCATION

Rio de Janeiro

  • Botafogo host Gremio in the Serie A 2026-2027, with both sides looking for a crucial result early in the campaign.
  • Botafogo are Winless in their last three matches (D2, L1), while Gremio have lost four of their last five (W1, L4).
  • Gremio have lost all three of their most recent away matches, failing to score in two of them.
  • Botafogo are unbeaten in their last five home matches in this fixture (W4, D1).
  • The last meeting between these sides ended in a thrilling 5-3 away win for Botafogo.
  • Both teams have averaged nearly identical possession this season: Botafogo 49.1%, Gremio 49.4%.
  • Botafogo average 13.6 shots per game, slightly more than Gremio's 13.1.
  • Gremio have a higher average goals per game (1.40) compared to Botafogo (1.30).
  • The prediction model favors a Botafogo win or draw, with a combined 90% probability.
  • Botafogo have a 74% chance according to the Poisson distribution model, highlighting their attacking edge.
  • The double chance market for Botafogo or draw is priced at 1.20 by William Hill.
  • Head-to-head history strongly favors Botafogo, who have won four of the last seven encounters.
Last Updated: 14 Sep 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
27 Corners 36
97 Fouls 103
4 Offsides 6
109 Shots 111
39 Shots on Goal 40
18 Yellow Cards 13
0 Red Cards 2
16 Goals 20
20 Goals Conceded 16
2 Clean Sheets 1
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#14
29
9
8
12
-5
35
#18
29
7
9
13
-8
30