Botafogo vs Gremio
Double chance : Botafogo or draw
Botafogo come into this match having drawn their last two games, so they are not losing but they are also finding it hard to get wins. Gremio have had a rough run of results, losing several matches in a row recently, though they did manage a win in their most recent game. When these two teams have met in recent years, the games have often produced plenty of goals, including a high-scoring match earlier this year, so it would not be surprising to see an open game with chances for both sides.
Overall, this looks like a close match that could easily end in a draw. Botafogo are not in great form but they are hard to beat at the moment, while Gremio have been struggling for consistency. A draw or a narrow Botafogo win seems the most likely outcome.
Last Updated: 14 Sep 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Botafogo REFEREE
E. Alves Batista
STADIUM
Estádio Nilton Santos
LOCATION
Rio de Janeiro
- Botafogo host Gremio in the Serie A 2026-2027, with both sides looking for a crucial result early in the campaign.
- Botafogo are Winless in their last three matches (D2, L1), while Gremio have lost four of their last five (W1, L4).
- Gremio have lost all three of their most recent away matches, failing to score in two of them.
- Botafogo are unbeaten in their last five home matches in this fixture (W4, D1).
- The last meeting between these sides ended in a thrilling 5-3 away win for Botafogo.
- Both teams have averaged nearly identical possession this season: Botafogo 49.1%, Gremio 49.4%.
- Botafogo average 13.6 shots per game, slightly more than Gremio's 13.1.
- Gremio have a higher average goals per game (1.40) compared to Botafogo (1.30).
- The prediction model favors a Botafogo win or draw, with a combined 90% probability.
- Botafogo have a 74% chance according to the Poisson distribution model, highlighting their attacking edge.
- The double chance market for Botafogo or draw is priced at 1.20 by William Hill.
- Head-to-head history strongly favors Botafogo, who have won four of the last seven encounters.
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
Serie A 2024-2025
Gremio
Serie A 2024-2025
Botafogo
Serie A 2023-2024
Gremio
Serie A 2023-2024
Botafogo
Serie A 2020-2021
Gremio
Serie A 2020-2021
Botafogo
Last matches for BOT
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
1
Vasco DA Gama
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
0
Mirassol
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
3
Gremio
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
1
RB Bragantino
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
0
Palmeiras
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
0
Flamengo
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
2
Atletico Paranaense
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
0
Vitoria
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
1
Cruzeiro
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
1
Bahia
2
Last matches for GRE
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
1
remo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
0
Palmeiras
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
2
Botafogo
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
1
Vasco DA Gama
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
0
Vitoria
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
3
Chapecoense-sc
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
0
RB Bragantino
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
0
Atletico-MG
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
2
Sao Paulo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
1
Fluminense
1
