Gremio vs Fluminense
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gremio
Fluminense
|
Probability %
1
x
2
35%
29%
36%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Gremio
Fluminense
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
52%
48%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Gremio
Fluminense
|
HТ/FT Probability %
20%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Gremio
Fluminense
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
54%
46%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Gremio
Fluminense
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Away +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
Double chance : draw or Fluminense
Gremio are coming into this match in poor form, having lost their last game and winning only two of their last five matches. Fluminense have been struggling too, drawing their last two games and failing to win any of their last five. Recent meetings between these two sides have often been tight and low-scoring, with four of the last five head-to-head games featuring fewer than three goals. The last time they met, Fluminense won 2-1.
This looks like a very even and cautious contest, as both teams are out of form and neither has been convincing recently. Given how close the recent head-to-head record is and the lack of goals in their matchups, a draw seems the most likely outcome here, with Fluminense having a slight edge based on their recent results against Gremio.
Last Updated: 24 Jul 2026 07:20 AMREFEREE
E. Batista
- Gremio and Fluminense meet in a Serie A Matchday 1 clash.
- Head-to-head history heavily favors Fluminense, who have won 6 of the last 9 meetings.
- The last five encounters have been tight, with all but one featuring both teams scoring.
- Fluminense are unbeaten in their last three away trips to Gremio in all competitions.
- Gremio have lost three of their last five home matches, showing inconsistent form.
- Fluminense have drawn three of their last five away games, highlighting resilience on the road.
- Both teams have similar attacking output, averaging 1.38 and 1.30 goals per game respectively.
- Fluminense enjoy higher average possession (55.5%) compared to Gremio (49.4%).
- Prediction suggests a very tight contest, with a 45% chance for a draw and 45% for an away win.
- Fluminense hold a significant advantage in overall form (60%) and head-to-head record (93%).
- In contrast, Gremio's best edge is in the Poisson distribution (53%) for expected goals.
- The best betting value is a Double Chance on Draw or Fluminense, offered at 1.50 odds.
Total
Per Match
41
Corners
37
130
Fouls
111
9
Offsides
11
121
Shots
121
42
Shots on Goal
45
22
Yellow Cards
22
0
Red Cards
2
13
Goals
7
7
Goals Conceded
13
5
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for GRE 
Serie A 2026-2027
17 JUL, 2026
Gremio
1
Mirassol
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
30 MAY, 2026
Gremio
1
Corinthians
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
23 MAY, 2026
Gremio
3
Santos
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
17 MAY, 2026
Gremio
1
Bahia
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
10 MAY, 2026
Gremio
0
Flamengo
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
02 MAY, 2026
Gremio
0
Atletico Paranaense
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Gremio
1
Coritiba
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
18 APR, 2026
Gremio
0
Cruzeiro
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 APR, 2026
Gremio
0
Internacional
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Gremio
0
remo
0
D
Last matches for FLU
Serie A 2026-2027
17 JUL, 2026
Fluminense
1
RB Bragantino
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
31 MAY, 2026
Fluminense
1
Cruzeiro
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
23 MAY, 2026
Fluminense
0
Mirassol
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
16 MAY, 2026
Fluminense
2
Sao Paulo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
09 MAY, 2026
Fluminense
2
Vitoria
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
03 MAY, 2026
Fluminense
0
Internacional
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Fluminense
2
Chapecoense-sc
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
19 APR, 2026
Fluminense
3
Santos
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 APR, 2026
Fluminense
1
Flamengo
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
04 APR, 2026
Fluminense
1
Coritiba
1
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.75
Pinnacle
3.35
Dafabet
2.70
Dafabet
96.85 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.75
3.32
2.68
96.34%
1xBet
Bonus
2.73
3.34
2.67
96.13%
Betano
2.72
3.30
2.65
95.42%
Bet365
2.70
3.25
2.62
94.36%
Unibet
2.70
3.25
2.63
94.49%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.39
Pinnacle
2.23
Pinnacle
3.34
Pinnacle
95.89 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.39
2.23
3.34
95.89%
Marathonbet
3.30
2.05
3.18
90.47%
Unibet
3.30
2.08
3.25
91.62%
1xBet
Bonus
3.30
2.05
3.18
90.47%
Betano
3.30
2.07
3.30
91.81%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.96
Marathonbet
2.50
Unibet
2.90
William Hill
92.36 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
2.96
2.41
2.84
90.51%
1xBet
Bonus
2.96
2.41
2.84
90.51%
Unibet
2.95
2.50
2.88
92.06%
Betano
2.92
2.47
2.85
91.06%
10Bet
2.88
2.40
2.80
89.20%
