Gremio vs Fluminense

Gremio
l d w l l
1 - 1
0.49
xG
0.10
Full Time
Fluminense
d w l d d
Diego Caito
89'
Hulk
65'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Fluminense

Gremio are coming into this match in poor form, having lost their last game and winning only two of their last five matches. Fluminense have been struggling too, drawing their last two games and failing to win any of their last five. Recent meetings between these two sides have often been tight and low-scoring, with four of the last five head-to-head games featuring fewer than three goals. The last time they met, Fluminense won 2-1.

This looks like a very even and cautious contest, as both teams are out of form and neither has been convincing recently. Given how close the recent head-to-head record is and the lack of goals in their matchups, a draw seems the most likely outcome here, with Fluminense having a slight edge based on their recent results against Gremio.

Last Updated: 24 Jul 2026 07:20 AM
starting lineups
 
Gabriel Grando
 
Marlon
 
Walter Kannemann
 
Gustavo Martins
 
C. Pavon
 
F. Amuzu
6.3
 
J. Nardoni
 
Tete
6.5
 
Carlos Vinicius
 
Fábio
 
J. Freytes
6.9
 
Thiago Silva
6.3
 
Guga
6.6
 
Hércules
 
Matheus Martinelli
6.6
 
A. Canobbio
 
L. Acosta
 
K. Serna
6.6
 
Hulk
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Gremio
69
69
' Out: F. Amuzu
78
78
80
Substitutes for Fluminense
' Out:
21
75' Out: Hulk
75
' Out: L. Acosta
75
87
87
statistics
44 Ball Possession 56
1 Goals 1
0.49 Expected Goals 0.10
match facts

REFEREE

E. Alves Batista

  • Gremio and Fluminense meet in a Serie A Matchday 1 clash.
  • Head-to-head history heavily favors Fluminense, who have won 6 of the last 9 meetings.
  • The last five encounters have been tight, with all but one featuring both teams scoring.
  • Fluminense are unbeaten in their last three away trips to Gremio in all competitions.
  • Gremio have lost three of their last five home matches, showing inconsistent form.
  • Fluminense have drawn three of their last five away games, highlighting resilience on the road.
  • Both teams have similar attacking output, averaging 1.38 and 1.30 goals per game respectively.
  • Fluminense enjoy higher average possession (55.5%) compared to Gremio (49.4%).
  • Prediction suggests a very tight contest, with a 45% chance for a draw and 45% for an away win.
  • Fluminense hold a significant advantage in overall form (60%) and head-to-head record (93%).
  • In contrast, Gremio's best edge is in the Poisson distribution (53%) for expected goals.
  • The best betting value is a Double Chance on Draw or Fluminense, offered at 1.50 odds.
Last Updated: 24 Jul 2026 07:20 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
43 Corners 38
137 Fouls 116
9 Offsides 12
127 Shots 124
44 Shots on Goal 46
24 Yellow Cards 26
0 Red Cards 2
14 Goals 8
8 Goals Conceded 14
5 Clean Sheets 0
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
27
12
9
6
6
45
#18
27
7
7
13
-8
28