Estrela vs Casa Pia
Rodrigo Pinho
12'
A. Marcus
37'
Rodrigo Pinho
45'+3'
G. Doue
76'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Double chance : Estrela or draw
Estrela, the home team, has been struggling a bit lately. They lost their last match and have drawn a couple of their recent games, finding it hard to get a win. Casa Pia, the away team, hasn't been in great shape either, with a couple of losses and several draws in their last few outings, so they haven't been winning much recently.
Looking at past meetings between these two, their games often have plenty of goals, like the last one which finished 3-5. With both teams not at their best, this match could be quite open and closely contested. Based on their current form and the history between them, this game looks likely to end in a draw.
Last Updated: 18 Mar 2026 07:21 PM6.3
6.7
8
8.5
10
5.3
6.2
Substitutes for Estrela Jovane
67' Out: Rodrigo Pinho
67
A. Sola
67' Out: Robinho
67
J. Meireles
' Out: I. Stoica
75
T. Moustier
82' Out: G. Doue
82
Otavio
83' Out: Bernardo Schappo
83
Substitutes for Casa Pia T. Morais
' Out: D. Rocha Livramento
39
J. Fonte
39' Out: Kaly
39
João Marques
' Out: Cassiano
56
I. Mohamed
' Out: Rafael Brito
57
Claudio Mendes
' Out: J. Livolant
76
REFEREE
H. Malheiro
STADIUM
Estádio José Gomes
LOCATION
Amadora
- This is a Primeira Liga clash between Estrela and Casa Pia at Estádio José Gomes.
- Estrela's recent form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches.
- Casa Pia are winless in five, with three draws and two losses in their recent form.
- The last H2H meeting in November 2025 was a high-scoring 3-5 away win for Casa Pia.
- Historically, the away team has won four of the last seven head-to-head encounters.
- Both teams average just over one goal per game this season (Estrela 1.08, Casa Pia 1.10).
- Median statistics suggest Estrela typically sees more possession (57%) and shots (13) than Casa Pia.
- Prediction models give a slight overall edge to Casa Pia (51.5% vs 48.5%).
- The most common prediction advice is a double chance for Estrela or a draw.
- Bookmaker 10Bet offers odds of 1.42 for the double chance (Estrela/Draw).
- H2H history strongly favors Estrela, giving them a 60% comparative advantage.
- Casa Pia's defensive comparison rating (62%) is significantly stronger than Estrela's (38%).
5/
0/
3
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Estrela
4
–
0
20 Mar, 2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
3
–
5
01 Nov, 2025
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
–
0
09 Feb, 2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Estrela
Estrela
0
–
1
31 Aug, 2024
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
–
1
08 Mar, 2024
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
0
–
1
08 Oct, 2023
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Estrela
Casa Pia
3
–
0
23 Apr, 2022
Segunda Liga 2021-2022
Segunda Liga 2021-2022
Estrela
Estrela
1
–
0
13 Dec, 2021
Segunda Liga 2021-2022
Segunda Liga 2021-2022
Casa Pia
Total
Per Match
34
Corners
46
4.3
Corners
5.8
118
Fouls
129
14.8
Fouls
16.1
10
Offsides
18
1.3
Offsides
2.3
102
Shots
92
12.8
Shots
11.5
37
Shots on Goal
35
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.4
16
Yellow Cards
15
2
Yellow Cards
1.9
0
Red Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0.1
14
Goals
9
1.8
Goals
1.1
9
Goals Conceded
14
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.8
3
Clean Sheets
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.4
Last matches for EST
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Estrela
0
Arouca
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Estrela
0
Sporting CP
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
Estrela
0
Nacional
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20 MAR, 2026
Estrela
4
Casa Pia
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Estrela
1
Rio Ave
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
08 MAR, 2026
Estrela
2
GIL Vicente
2
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Estrela
0
AVS
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20 FEB, 2026
Estrela
0
Tondela
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14 FEB, 2026
Estrela
1
Guimaraes
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Estrela
1
Santa Clara
0
W
Last matches for CAS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Santa Clara
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Casa Pia
1
Alverca
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
06 APR, 2026
Casa Pia
1
Benfica
1
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20 MAR, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Estrela
4
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Estoril
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
01 MAR, 2026
Casa Pia
1
Moreirense
1
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
23 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Famalicao
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
3
Arouca
2
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
08 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Nacional
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
02 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
2
FC Porto
1
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
