Casa Pia vs Arouca
Rafael Brito
21'
Cassiano
25'
Cassiano
45'
I. Barbero
11'
A. Conte
37'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Double chance : Casa Pia or draw
Casa Pia has been struggling to win recently, with a few losses and draws in their last games. They haven't been scoring many goals lately.
Arouca, on the other hand, is in good shape, having won most of their recent matches. When these two teams have met before, the games have usually been very close and low-scoring, with most ending in draws.
Last Updated: 12 Feb 2026 10:47 AM7
1
6.7
43
5.9
3
7.2
4
6.3
5
7.3
8
6.3
80
6.6
72
6.3
13
8.3
90
7.2
29
5.5
12
6
25
5.7
3
6
15
6.9
28
7.2
21
7
22
6.3
7
6.5
14
6.3
19
6.6
17
Substitutes for Casa Pia João Marques
53' Out: K. Osundina
53
D. Rocha Livramento
84' Out: Cassiano
84
I. Mohamed
84' Out: Rafael Brito
84
Claudio Mendes
90' Out: J. Livolant
90
Substitutes for Arouca D. Nandin
67' Out: I. Barbero
67
B. Mansilla
67' Out: A. Trezza
67
D. Monteiro
84' Out: Tiago Esgaio
84
P. Gozalbez
84' Out: E. van Ee
84
Puche
84' Out: B. Kuipers
84
REFEREE
D. Rosa
STADIUM
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
LOCATION
Rio Maior
- Casa Pia are winless in their last five league matches (D2 L3).
- Arouca are unbeaten in their last four away league games (W3 D1).
- The last five head-to-head meetings have produced four 0-0 draws.
- Arouca won the reverse fixture this season 2-0 in September 2025.
- Casa Pia have failed to score in four of their last five matches.
- Arouca have kept three clean sheets in their last four away matches.
- Both teams average under 0.25 goals per match in recent form.
- Prediction models heavily favor a Casa Pia win or draw (90% combined probability).
- Head-to-head history gives Casa Pia a massive 93% statistical advantage.
- Median stats show Arouca receive significantly more yellow cards (7 vs 2).
- Casa Pia's recent home possession median (66%) contrasts sharply with their season average (44.7%).
- The match will be played at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
5/
3/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Casa Pia
3
–
2
14 Feb, 2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
Arouca
0
–
2
14 Sep, 2025
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Casa Pia
Arouca
0
–
0
04 May, 2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
3
–
1
20 Dec, 2024
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Arouca
Casa Pia
1
–
0
18 Feb, 2024
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Arouca
Arouca
0
–
1
17 Sep, 2023
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Casa Pia
Arouca
2
–
0
25 Feb, 2023
Primeira Liga 2022-2023
Primeira Liga 2022-2023
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
0
–
0
04 Sep, 2022
Primeira Liga 2022-2023
Primeira Liga 2022-2023
Arouca
Arouca
2
–
1
09 May, 2021
Segunda Liga 2020-2021
Segunda Liga 2020-2021
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
1
–
1
10 Jan, 2021
Segunda Liga 2020-2021
Segunda Liga 2020-2021
Arouca
Total
Per Match
51
Corners
42
5.1
Corners
4.2
126
Fouls
116
12.6
Fouls
11.6
22
Offsides
9
2.2
Offsides
0.9
84
Shots
96
8.4
Shots
9.6
27
Shots on Goal
34
2.7
Shots on Goal
3.4
34
Yellow Cards
18
3.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
4
Red Cards
1
0.4
Red Cards
0.1
12
Goals
8
1.2
Goals
0.8
8
Goals Conceded
12
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.2
5
Clean Sheets
3
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.3
Last matches for CAS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Santa Clara
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Casa Pia
1
Alverca
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
06 APR, 2026
Casa Pia
1
Benfica
1
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20 MAR, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Estrela
4
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Estoril
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
01 MAR, 2026
Casa Pia
1
Moreirense
1
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
23 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Famalicao
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
3
Arouca
2
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
08 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
0
Nacional
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
02 FEB, 2026
Casa Pia
2
FC Porto
1
W
Last matches for ARO
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Arouca
1
Estrela
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Arouca
0
SC Braga
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
06 APR, 2026
Arouca
3
Estoril
2
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Arouca
1
Moreirense
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Arouca
1
Benfica
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
06 MAR, 2026
Arouca
0
Famalicao
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
27 FEB, 2026
Arouca
1
FC Porto
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Arouca
3
Nacional
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14 FEB, 2026
Arouca
2
Casa Pia
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Arouca
3
Guimaraes
2
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
