Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
l l d w d
3 - 2
2.07
xG
1.22
Full Time
Arouca
l w l w w
Rafael Brito
21'
Cassiano
25'
Cassiano
45'
I. Barbero
11'
A. Conte
37'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Casa Pia or draw

Casa Pia has been struggling to win recently, with a few losses and draws in their last games. They haven't been scoring many goals lately.

Arouca, on the other hand, is in good shape, having won most of their recent matches. When these two teams have met before, the games have usually been very close and low-scoring, with most ending in draws.

Last Updated: 12 Feb 2026 10:47 AM
starting lineups
7
1
P. Sequeira
6.7
43
D. Sousa
5.9
3
Kaly
7.2
4
João Goulart
6.3
5
A. Conte
7.3
8
Rafael Brito
6.3
80
L. Ofori
6.6
72
G. Larrazabal
6.3
13
K. Osundina
8.3
90
Cassiano
7.2
29
J. Livolant
5.5
12
I. De Arruabarrena
6
25
B. Kuipers
5.7
3
J. Fontan
6
15
J. Sanchez
6.9
28
Tiago Esgaio
7.2
21
T. Fukui
7
22
E. van Ee
6.3
7
N. Djouahra
6.5
14
H. Lee
6.3
19
A. Trezza
6.6
17
I. Barbero
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Casa Pia
João Marques
53' Out: K. Osundina
53
D. Rocha Livramento
84' Out: Cassiano
84
I. Mohamed
84' Out: Rafael Brito
84
Claudio Mendes
90' Out: J. Livolant
90
Substitutes for Arouca
D. Nandin
67' Out: I. Barbero
67
B. Mansilla
67' Out: A. Trezza
67
D. Monteiro
84' Out: Tiago Esgaio
84
P. Gozalbez
84' Out: E. van Ee
84
Puche
84' Out: B. Kuipers
84
statistics
31 Ball Possession 69
3 Goals 2
2.07 Expected Goals 1.22
match facts

REFEREE

D. Rosa

STADIUM

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

LOCATION

Rio Maior

  • Casa Pia are winless in their last five league matches (D2 L3).
  • Arouca are unbeaten in their last four away league games (W3 D1).
  • The last five head-to-head meetings have produced four 0-0 draws.
  • Arouca won the reverse fixture this season 2-0 in September 2025.
  • Casa Pia have failed to score in four of their last five matches.
  • Arouca have kept three clean sheets in their last four away matches.
  • Both teams average under 0.25 goals per match in recent form.
  • Prediction models heavily favor a Casa Pia win or draw (90% combined probability).
  • Head-to-head history gives Casa Pia a massive 93% statistical advantage.
  • Median stats show Arouca receive significantly more yellow cards (7 vs 2).
  • Casa Pia's recent home possession median (66%) contrasts sharply with their season average (44.7%).
  • The match will be played at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
Last Updated: 12 Feb 2026 10:47 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
51 Corners 42
126 Fouls 116
22 Offsides 9
84 Shots 96
27 Shots on Goal 34
34 Yellow Cards 18
4 Red Cards 1
12 Goals 8
8 Goals Conceded 12
5 Clean Sheets 3
primeira liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#11
30
10
5
15
-20
35
#16
29
5
11
13
-24
26