Tondela vs Nacional
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tondela
Nacional
|
Probability %
1
x
2
34%
28%
38%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.64
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tondela
Nacional
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
51%
49%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.64
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tondela
Nacional
|
HТ/FT Probability %
21%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tondela
Nacional
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
55%
45%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.64
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tondela
Nacional
|
Probability %
53%
|
Pred
Away +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.64
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
Combo Double chance : draw or Nacional and -3.5 goals
Tondela is coming into this match in a tough patch, having struggled to win recently and conceding several goals in their last few games. Nacional is also in a difficult run of form, having lost most of their recent matches.
Looking at their past meetings, the games have often been quite close, with a mix of results. Given both teams' current struggles and the history of tight matches between them, this game looks most likely to end in a draw.
Last Updated: 23 Apr 2026 07:26 AMWHO WILL WIN?
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
REFEREE
H. Malheiro
STADIUM
Estádio João Cardoso
LOCATION
Tondela
- This is a Primeira Liga 2025-2026 match between Tondela and Nacional.
- The match will be played at Estádio João Cardoso.
- In the last meeting in December 2025, Nacional won 3-1.
- Tondela's recent form shows just one win in their last five matches (W1 D2 L2).
- Nacional are in poor form, losing four of their last five matches (W1 L4).
- Both teams average just over one goal per game (Tondela 1.16, Nacional 1.21).
- Nacional averages more shots per game (11.68) than Tondela (9.29).
- The median possession stats are close, with Nacional (47%) slightly edging Tondela (44%).
- Nacional typically receives more yellow cards (median 3) than Tondela (median 2).
- The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced at 50% for each team in the prediction model.
- The overall prediction model favors Nacional with a 60.8% chance compared to Tondela's 39.2%.
- The key betting advice is a Double Chance on Draw or Nacional with Under 3.5 goals.
3/
2/
3
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Tondela
0
–
0
25 Apr, 2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
Nacional
3
–
1
15 Dec, 2025
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Tondela
Tondela
2
–
3
12 May, 2024
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
Nacional
Nacional
1
–
1
06 Jan, 2024
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
Tondela
Tondela
1
–
0
29 Jan, 2023
Segunda Liga 2022-2023
Segunda Liga 2022-2023
Nacional
Nacional
0
–
1
06 Aug, 2022
Segunda Liga 2022-2023
Segunda Liga 2022-2023
Tondela
Tondela
2
–
1
22 Apr, 2021
Primeira Liga 2020-2021
Primeira Liga 2020-2021
Nacional
Nacional
2
–
0
27 Dec, 2020
Primeira Liga 2020-2021
Primeira Liga 2020-2021
Tondela
Total
Per Match
36
Corners
32
5.1
Corners
4.6
91
Fouls
92
13
Fouls
13.1
3
Offsides
5
0.4
Offsides
0.7
59
Shots
56
8.4
Shots
8
21
Shots on Goal
20
3
Shots on Goal
2.9
22
Yellow Cards
20
3.1
Yellow Cards
2.9
3
Red Cards
5
0.4
Red Cards
0.7
8
Goals
10
1.1
Goals
1.4
10
Goals Conceded
8
1.4
Goals Conceded
1.1
2
Clean Sheets
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.1
Last matches for TON
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Tondela
0
Nacional
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Tondela
0
FC Porto
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
13 APR, 2026
Tondela
2
GIL Vicente
2
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
03 APR, 2026
Tondela
0
Guimaraes
5
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Tondela
0
AVS
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
09 MAR, 2026
Tondela
0
Rio Ave
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
01 MAR, 2026
Tondela
2
Santa Clara
2
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20 FEB, 2026
Tondela
2
Estrela
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Tondela
2
Estoril
2
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
25 JAN, 2026
Tondela
0
Famalicao
3
L
Last matches for NAC
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Nacional
0
Tondela
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Nacional
1
Alverca
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Nacional
0
Benfica
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
Nacional
2
Estrela
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Nacional
0
Famalicao
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Nacional
0
Estoril
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
Nacional
1
Moreirense
1
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Nacional
1
SC Braga
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Nacional
0
Arouca
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15 FEB, 2026
Nacional
0
FC Porto
1
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
2.90
1xBet
3.45
Dafabet
2.60
Unibet
98.11 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
2.90
3.38
2.56
96.96%
Dafabet
2.90
3.45
2.46
96.04%
Pinnacle
2.88
3.44
2.53
96.79%
Betano
2.85
3.35
2.50
95.29%
William Hill
2.80
3.10
2.40
91.21%
Bet365
2.80
3.40
2.45
94.39%
Betfair
2.80
3.40
2.40
93.64%
888Sport
Bonus
2.80
3.10
2.40
91.21%
Marathonbet
2.79
3.25
2.46
93.23%
10Bet
2.76
3.30
2.46
93.30%
Unknown
2.70
3.25
2.40
91.35%
Unibet
2.65
3.25
2.60
93.49%
SBO
2.56
3.01
2.45
88.42%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.51
Pinnacle
2.28
Pinnacle
3.17
Pinnacle
96.25 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.51
2.28
3.17
96.25%
Betano
3.45
2.10
3.05
91.41%
Marathonbet
3.44
2.06
3.04
90.49%
1xBet
Bonus
3.44
2.06
3.04
90.49%
Bet365
3.40
2.20
3.00
92.42%
Unknown
3.40
2.10
3.10
91.50%
10Bet
3.30
2.10
3.00
89.88%
William Hill
3.30
2.20
2.90
90.71%
Betfair
3.30
2.10
2.88
88.78%
888Sport
Bonus
3.30
2.20
2.90
90.71%
Unibet
3.20
2.14
3.15
91.14%
SBO
3.13
2.08
2.85
86.87%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.10
William Hill
2.50
Bet365
2.88
Unibet
93.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
3.10
2.38
2.75
90.38%
888Sport
Bonus
3.10
2.38
2.75
90.38%
Marathonbet
3.06
2.44
2.71
90.45%
1xBet
Bonus
3.06
2.44
2.71
90.45%
Bet365
3.00
2.50
2.75
91.16%
Betano
3.00
2.45
2.77
90.70%
10Bet
2.95
2.40
2.75
89.34%
Unibet
2.90
2.43
2.88
90.61%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.98
Unibet
1.92
Pinnacle
97.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Unibet
1.98
1.71
7.66%
Pinnacle
1.97
1.92
12.06%
1xBet
Bonus
1.96
1.92
4.40%
Betano
1.95
1.90
7.37%
SBO
1.94
1.90
31.76%
10Bet
1.91
1.85
18.84%
Marathonbet
1.91
1.86
5.36%
888Sport
Bonus
1.91
1.83
15.66%
Bet365
1.90
1.90
11.96%
Betfair
1.90
1.87
18.87%
Unknown
1.85
1.82
8.37%
HIGHEST ODDS
7.50
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
95.93 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Betfair
7.50
1.06
30.87%
William Hill
7.00
1.08
23.47%
Bet365
7.00
1.10
23.61%
Betano
6.50
1.10
13.57%
Marathonbet
6.45
1.05
18.42%
1xBet
Bonus
6.45
1.05
9.26%
10Bet
6.25
1.09
30.81%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
18.40%
Unknown
-
-
-
-
18.34%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.26%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.62%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.50
William Hill
1.21
Betano
95.36 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
William Hill
4.50
1.18
23.45%
888Sport
Bonus
4.50
1.18
23.45%
10Bet
4.33
1.18
30.82%
Bet365
4.33
1.20
23.50%
Marathonbet
4.30
1.16
18.45%
1xBet
Bonus
4.30
1.16
9.27%
Betano
4.30
1.21
31.38%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
91.96%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.09
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
97.85 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.09
1.83
10.76%
1xBet
Bonus
2.06
1.84
5.38%
Bet365
2.05
1.80
6.30%
10Bet
2.00
1.77
46.74%
Marathonbet
1.98
1.77
5.34%
Unknown
1.93
1.75
13.10%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
23.00%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
23.33%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.66%
Betano
-
-
-
-
16.04%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.04
Pinnacle
1.84
Pinnacle
96.74 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.04
1.84
19.25%
10Bet
2.00
1.77
93.90%
Bet365
2.00
1.80
13.48%
Marathonbet
1.93
1.76
10.15%
1xBet
Bonus
1.93
1.76
10.14%
Unknown
1.91
1.77
18.34%
SBO
-
-
-
-
94.23%
Betano
-
-
-
-
23.77%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.93
Marathonbet
1.76
Marathonbet
92.05 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.93
1.76
10.14%
1xBet
Bonus
1.93
1.76
10.13%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.74
Unibet
2.10
William Hill
95.16 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Unibet
1.74
1.95
91.95%
Betfair
1.73
2.10
94.86%
10Bet
1.70
2.05
92.93%
Bet365
1.70
2.05
92.93%
Betano
1.70
2.07
93.34%
Marathonbet
1.69
2.02
92.02%
1xBet
Bonus
1.69
2.05
92.63%
William Hill
1.67
2.10
93.02%
Unknown
1.67
2.05
92.03%
888Sport
Bonus
1.67
2.10
93.02%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.55
1xBet
1.35
William Hill
1.45
Betano
48.18 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.55
1.35
1.44
48.07%
Betano
1.55
1.31
1.45
47.66%
10Bet
1.53
1.25
1.42
46.34%
Bet365
1.53
1.30
1.40
46.79%
Betfair
1.53
1.25
1.36
45.69%
Marathonbet
1.51
1.31
1.41
46.84%
SBO
1.51
1.26
1.36
45.64%
William Hill
1.50
1.35
1.40
47.13%
888Sport
Bonus
1.50
1.33
1.40
46.89%
Unknown
1.47
1.30
1.40
46.22%
Unibet
1.43
1.29
1.41
45.79%
