GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia

GIL Vicente
d l w d l
2 - 1
1.71
xG
1.25
Full Time
Casa Pia
l d l d l
Murilo de Souza
31'
Murilo de Souza
73'
Cassiano
45'+7'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Probability %
1 x 2
56%
26%
18%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
55%
45%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Casa Pia Casa Pia
HТ/FT Probability %
32%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Probability %
Yes/ No
47%
53%
Pred
No
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Probability %
51%
Pred
Away -0.75
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw

Gil Vicente and Casa Pia are set to face off at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, and this looks like a match that could go either way. Gil Vicente have had a tough time recently, losing two of their last five games and drawing the other two, but they did manage a hard-fought 1-0 win away from home in their most recent outing. Casa Pia, meanwhile, have been struggling even more—they've lost two of their last five, drawn twice, and only won once, that win also being a narrow 1-0 away victory. Both teams seem to be in fairly similar shape, with neither looking particularly strong or confident at the moment.

When these two have met before, the matches have been very tight and low-scoring. Four of their last seven meetings ended in draws, and none of those games had more than two goals. The most common result has been 1-1, with a couple of 0-0 draws as well. Given the lack of goals in their history and both teams' recent struggles to score freely, this match feels very close and defensive. Neither side is in great form, and with so many recent draws between them, it's hard to imagine either team running away with it. A draw seems the most likely outcome here, as both teams will probably cancel each other out.

Last Updated: 25 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
6.6
 
Figueira Daniel
 
J. Mutombo
 
J. Buatu
 
M. Elimbi
6
 
Ze Carlos
 
L. Esteves
6.9
 
Ze Carlos
 
M. Fernandez
 
S. Garcia
8.5
 
Murilo de Souza
 
Héctor Hernández
 
P. Sequeira
 
D. Sousa
6.7
 
A. Geraldes
 
João Goulart
7.2
 
P. Rosas
6.5
 
Rafael Brito
 
I. Mohamed
 
G. Larrazabal
 
João Marques
6.9
 
Cassiano
 
J. Livolant
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for GIL Vicente
A. Moreira
' Out: M. Fernandez
61
G. Varela
' Out: Héctor Hernández
61
S. Hevertton
' Out: J. Mutombo
82
Bermejo
87' Out: Murilo de Souza
87
A. Espigares
88' Out: Ze Carlos
88
Substitutes for Casa Pia
A. Conte
74' Out: P. Rosas
74
D. Rocha Livramento
' Out: João Marques
74
S. Perez
' Out: I. Mohamed
85
Claudio Mendes
86' Out: Cassiano
86
L. Ofori
' Out: J. Livolant
86
statistics
56 Ball Possession 44
2 Goals 1
1.71 Expected Goals 1.25
match facts

REFEREE

B. Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa

STADIUM

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

LOCATION

Barcelos

  • GIL Vicente host Casa Pia at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos on April 27, 2026, in the Primeira Liga 2025-2026 season.
  • The hosts have won only once in their last five matches (1W, 2D, 2L), while Casa Pia have managed one win in their last five (1W, 2D, 2L).
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with three draws in the last five clashes, including a 1-1 stalemate in December 2025.
  • GIL Vicente average 1.14 goals per match with 51.06% possession, while Casa Pia score 1.11 goals with 45.65% possession.
  • Both teams are defensively cautious, but the visitors have a slightly lower shot average (9.35) compared to the home side (11.63).
  • The prediction favors GIL Vicente or a draw at 45% each, with Casa Pia given just a 10% chance of winning.
  • In key comparisons, the home side lead in attack (78% vs 22%) and overall form (71% vs 29%) according to the stats.
  • Casa Pia have lost both of their last two away league games, while GIL Vicente recently won on the road.
  • The median statistics show both teams average 2 yellow cards per match, suggesting a relatively disciplined contest.
  • Bet365 offers odds of 1.17 for a Double Chance (Home/Draw), reflecting the strong expectation of an unbeaten home side.
  • Poisson distribution heavily backs the home team (80% vs 20%), reinforcing the prediction of a low-scoring or home-biased match.
  • GIL Vicente have kept just one clean sheet in their last five games, while Casa Pia have managed two in that same span.
Last Updated: 25 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
43 Corners 22
84 Fouls 132
9 Offsides 18
85 Shots 76
32 Shots on Goal 22
18 Yellow Cards 19
0 Red Cards 2
10 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 10
3 Clean Sheets 2
primeira liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
31
13
10
8
14
49
#16
31
5
11
15
-26
26
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.75
1xBet
3.75
Dafabet
5.60
Unibet
98.36 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.75
3.70
5.30
97.05%
Betano Betano Logo
1.75
3.60
4.90
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Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.73
3.75
5.20
96.43%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.72
3.73
5.30
96.32%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.70
3.40
4.80
91.69%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.37
Pinnacle
2.27
Pinnacle
5.65
Pinnacle
96.20 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.37
2.27
5.65
96.20%
SBO SBO Logo
2.31
2.12
4.84
89.99%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.30
2.15
5.00
90.92%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.30
2.20
5.50
93.36%
Betfair Betfair Logo
2.30
2.10
5.00
90.01%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.12
Betano
2.55
Unibet
5.00
William Hill
94.00 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
2.12
2.40
4.75
91.00%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
2.05
2.38
4.75
89.41%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.05
2.30
5.00
89.08%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.05
2.40
4.75
89.69%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
2.05
2.30
5.00
89.08%