Santa Clara vs Nacional

Santa Clara
l l d w d
2 - 0
1.37
xG
0.61
Full Time
Nacional
w l w w l
P. Pacheco
27'
Elias Manoel
90'+2'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Nacional

Santa Clara are hosting Nacional this week, and while Santa Clara are playing at home, they've been struggling lately. Their recent form shows two losses and two draws in their last five matches, with only one win mixed in. That's not great, and they've been leaking goals in most of those games.

Nacional, on the other hand, are in much better shape. They've won their last two matches, both away from home, and look like a team that's finding its rhythm. When these two sides met earlier this year, it was a wild 3-3 draw, so goals are definitely a possibility again. Given Nacional's stronger recent run and Santa Clara's struggles, this looks like a match where Nacional are the more likely winner, or at least a draw is very possible.

Last Updated: 09 May 2026 06:01 PM
starting lineups
 
J. Afonso
 
Paulo Victor
8
 
P. Pacheco
 
S. Lima
 
Diogo Calila
 
Andrey
 
J. Tavares
 
Gabriel Silva
 
Gustavo Klismahn
 
Welinton
 
G. Paciencia
 
Kaique Pereira
 
Jose Gomes
 
C. Goncalves
 
Léo Santos
6.9
 
J. Aurelio
 
Matheus Dias
 
Filipe Soares
6.5
 
Paulinho Boia
 
Daniel Junior
 
Witi
 
J. Ramirez
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Santa Clara
Elias Manoel
' Out: G. Paciencia
24
Darlan
' Out: Gustavo Klismahn
65
Isaac
' Out: Andrey
65
Vinicius Lopes
' Out: Welinton
82
' Out: Gabriel Silva
82
Substitutes for Nacional
C. Labidi
' Out: Matheus Dias
46
Gabriel Veron
' Out: Witi
46
A. Nunez
62' Out: J. Aurelio
62
L. Joao
' Out: Daniel Junior
82
Watts
' Out: Filipe Soares
90
statistics
41 Ball Possession 59
2 Goals 0
1.37 Expected Goals 0.61
match facts

REFEREE

H. Filipe Claudio Carvalho

STADIUM

Estádio de São Miguel

LOCATION

Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores

  • The match predictions heavily favor Nacional or a draw, with a combined 90% probability, while Santa Clara has just a 10% chance of winning according to the data.
  • Santa Clara's recent form is poor: they have failed to win in their last four matches (2 draws, 2 losses).
  • In contrast, Nacional are in excellent form, winning their last two away matches without conceding a goal.
  • Santa Clara average just 1.09 goals per match, making them one of the lower-scoring sides in the Primeira Liga this season.
  • Santa Clara's attack (50%) and defense (31%) are rated lower than Nacional's based on the pre-match comparison stats.
  • Nacional have scored in each of their recent victories, while Santa Clara have drawn a blank in two of their last five.
  • Nacional have historically dominated this fixture, winning 4 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters.
  • The most recent head-to-head clash ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw, suggesting goals could be on the cards again.
  • Unibet offers the highest odds (1.74) for a Double Chance bet on a Draw or Away win (Nacional).
  • Santa Clara's average possession is low at just 46.31%, compared to Nacional's 48.36%.
  • National's defensive rating (69%) is significantly higher than Santa Clara's (31%), indicating a strong backline.
  • Santa Clara have conceded an average of 2 goals per game in their last four matches, a worrying trend.
Last Updated: 09 May 2026 06:01 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
53 Corners 33
108 Fouls 125
11 Offsides 13
126 Shots 88
45 Shots on Goal 24
27 Yellow Cards 30
1 Red Cards 1
15 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 15
2 Clean Sheets 2
primeira liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#12
34
9
9
16
-9
36
#14
34
9
7
18
-8
34