Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

Villarreal
d w l w d
2 - 1
1.72
xG
2.08
Full Time
Celta Vigo
d l w l l
G. Moreno
2'
N. Pepe
29'
B. Iglesias
73'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Probability %
1 x 2
50%
26%
24%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
44%
56%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0
HĐ¢/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
HĐ¢/FT Probability %
29%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Probability %
Yes/ No
59%
41%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Probability %
50%
Pred
Home -0.5
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Villarreal or draw

Villarreal haven't been in great form lately, with only one win in their last five matches and a couple of losses. Celta Vigo, on the other hand, are in much better shape, having won three of their last five games on the road. However, recent meetings between these two have often been high-scoring affairs, with the last five matches all seeing three goals or more. The most recent clash earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw.

Even though Celta Vigo are playing well, Villarreal are at home and have historically been tough to beat in this fixture. Given how close their recent matches have been and Villarreal's home advantage, this looks like a very tight game that could go either way, so a draw seems the most likely outcome.

Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
Arnau Tenas
6.6
 
A. Pedraza
 
R. Veiga
 
R. Marin
 
A. Freeman
 
A. Moleiro
6.9
 
P. Gueye
 
S. Comesana
7.9
 
N. Pepe
 
G. Mikautadze
7.7
 
G. Moreno
6.5
 
I. Radu
6.9
 
Marcos Alonso
 
Y. Lago
 
Javi RodrĂ­guez
 
S. Carreira
6.5
 
I. Moriba
 
H. Sotelo
 
O. Mingueza
 
H. Alvarez
6.5
 
P. Duran
7.7
 
B. Iglesias
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Villarreal
D. Parejo
78' Out: P. Gueye
78
A. Gonzalez
78' Out: N. Pepe
78
S. Cardona
78' Out: A. Pedraza
78
A. Perez
' Out: G. Mikautadze
85
T. Partey
' Out: A. Moleiro
90
Substitutes for Celta Vigo
F. Jutgla
46' Out: P. Duran
46
I. Aspas
76' Out: Marcos Alonso
76
F. Lopez
' Out: H. Sotelo
76
A. Nunez
' Out: H. Alvarez
76
H. Gonzalez
83' Out: B. Iglesias
83
statistics
47 Ball Possession 53
2 Goals 1
1.72 Expected Goals 2.08
match facts

REFEREE

A. Quintero Gonzalez

STADIUM

Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica

LOCATION

Villarreal

  • Villarreal have lost their last four La Liga meetings with Celta Vigo, conceding 13 goals in that run.
  • The last time Villarreal defeated Celta Vigo at home, they did so in style, winning 4-0 in January 2021.
  • Celta Vigo have won three of their last four away league games, scoring 10 goals across those victories.
  • Villarreal are winless in five competitive matches, drawing their last one 1-1.
  • The prediction gives Villarreal a 45% chance to win, with the draw also at 45%, making Celta Vigo a clear underdog at just 10%.
  • Both sides average nearly identical possession in La Liga this season, with Villarreal at 51.2% and Celta at 51.8%.
  • Villarreal's home defence is rated strongly at 69% in the pre-match comparison, significantly higher than Celta's 31%.
  • Celta Vigo have a better recent goals rating (55%) compared to Villarreal's 45%.
  • The historical head-to-head is perfectly balanced at 50% each in the prediction comparison.
  • Villarreal's average of 1.61 goals per game is notably higher than Celta's 1.27, but Villarreal are in poor form.
  • The best betting advice is a "Double Chance: Villarreal or Draw", with top odds of 1.31 at Betano.
  • The last five head-to-head meetings at the Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica have all seen over 2.5 goals.
Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
53 Corners 62
138 Fouls 157
20 Offsides 21
143 Shots 176
54 Shots on Goal 62
20 Yellow Cards 30
4 Red Cards 1
24 Goals 20
20 Goals Conceded 24
2 Clean Sheets 1
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
33
20
5
8
21
65
#6
33
11
11
11
2
44
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.98
1xBet
3.75
Betano
4.12
1xBet
98.58 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.98
3.74
4.12
98.51%
Betano Betano Logo
1.95
3.75
4.00
97.14%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.95
3.70
3.85
95.89%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.94
3.68
4.10
96.98%
Unknown Unknown Logo
1.93
3.60
3.90
95.03%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.56
Pinnacle
2.43
Pinnacle
4.45
Marathonbet
97.38 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.56
2.43
4.34
96.85%
SBO SBO Logo
2.56
2.26
3.61
90.08%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.50
2.30
4.00
92.18%
Unknown Unknown Logo
2.50
2.15
4.20
90.64%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.47
2.19
4.45
92.06%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.25
William Hill
2.75
Unibet
3.85
Marathonbet
93.65 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.25
2.50
3.80
90.29%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
2.25
2.50
3.80
90.29%
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.23
2.75
3.70
92.39%
Betano Betano Logo
2.22
2.65
3.70
91.07%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
2.20
2.55
3.60
88.93%