Maritimo vs FC Porto
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maritimo
FC Porto
|
Probability %
1
x
2
9%
18%
73%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
2.83
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Maritimo
FC Porto
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
46%
54%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.83
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Maritimo
FC Porto
|
HТ/FT Probability %
46%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Maritimo
FC Porto
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
44%
56%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.83
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Maritimo
FC Porto
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Home -1.5
|
Avg. Goal
2.83
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
Winner : FC Porto
Maritimo have had a mixed run lately, with a couple of draws, a win and some losses, so they are not in great form. FC Porto have also been up and down, but they have still managed to win more of their recent games and look the stronger side overall.
When these two have met in recent years, the games have often been close but Porto have usually come out on top, and there have been plenty of goals in some of those matches. This one looks likely to be open, with Porto having the edge and probably taking the win, though a draw is also possible.
Last Updated: 08 Oct 2026 12:06 PMREFEREE
J. Goncalves
STADIUM
Estádio do Marítimo
LOCATION
Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)
- Maritimo host FC Porto at Estadio do Maritimo in Primeira Liga action.
- Porto have won three of the last six head-to-head meetings, with Maritimo winning twice and one draw.
- The most recent H2H saw Porto win 2-0 away at Maritimo in February 2023.
- Maritimo's recent form: two draws, two losses, and one win in their last five.
- Porto's recent form: three wins and two losses in their last five.
- Porto average 1.77 goals per game compared to Maritimo's 1.05.
- Porto average 14.89 shots per game, while Maritimo average 10.98.
- Porto dominate possession with 58.26% average, versus Maritimo's 48.26%.
- The prediction model gives Porto an 83.7% overall win probability.
- Prediction advice favors an FC Porto away win.
- Porto have a 93% win likelihood based on both Poisson distribution and H2H metrics.
- The highest odds for the predicted result: Porto away win at 1.34 with Dafabet.
Total
Per Match
18
Corners
22
112
Fouls
106
8
Offsides
8
55
Shots
107
20
Shots on Goal
37
26
Yellow Cards
14
1
Red Cards
1
7
Goals
14
14
Goals Conceded
7
0
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for MAR 
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Maritimo
1
GIL Vicente
1
D
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Maritimo
1
Moreirense
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Maritimo
0
Benfica
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Maritimo
1
Arouca
2
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Maritimo
2
Academico Viseu
2
D
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Maritimo
2
Famalicao
1
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
08 AUG, 2026
Maritimo
1
Casa Pia
0
W
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
15 MAY, 2026
Maritimo
1
Chaves
3
L
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
09 MAY, 2026
Maritimo
0
Penafiel
1
L
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
01 MAY, 2026
Maritimo
3
Leixoes
2
W
Last matches for FCP
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
FC Porto
3
Benfica
1
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
FC Porto
4
Casa Pia
1
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
FC Porto
0
Manchester City
2
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
04 SEP, 2026
FC Porto
2
Moreirense
1
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
3
Academico Viseu
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
2
Arouca
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
2
Rio Ave
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
2
Alverca
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
FC Porto
1
AVS
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
26 APR, 2026
FC Porto
2
Estrela
1
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
10.30
1xBet
5.49
1xBet
1.34
Pinnacle
97.51 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
10.30
5.49
1.33
96.98%
Betfair
10.00
5.00
1.30
93.53%
Betano
9.50
5.00
1.34
95.10%
Marathonbet
9.40
5.00
1.30
92.97%
Dafabet
9.40
5.20
1.34
95.70%
HIGHEST ODDS
9.00
Bet365
2.59
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
95.82 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
9.00
2.50
1.73
91.82%
Pinnacle
8.52
2.59
1.79
94.15%
Marathonbet
8.10
2.42
1.76
90.51%
1xBet
Bonus
8.10
2.42
1.76
90.51%
William Hill
8.00
2.40
1.80
91.14%
HIGHEST ODDS
7.80
Marathonbet
2.95
Betano
1.70
William Hill
94.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
7.80
2.94
1.57
90.47%
1xBet
Bonus
7.80
2.94
1.57
90.47%
Bet365
7.50
2.75
1.62
89.75%
Betano
7.50
2.95
1.60
91.13%
William Hill
7.00
2.70
1.70
90.79%
