RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
Winner : RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig have not been in great shape lately, losing their last two matches by wide margins. They were beaten 4-1 and then 3-1, which shows they have been struggling defensively. On the other hand, FC St. Pauli have been much more solid, winning their most recent game and picking up several positive results in their last five outings, including a big 5-0 win away from home.
When these two teams have met before, the games have been close and low-scoring, with two draws and one win for St. Pauli in their last three meetings. Given that Leipzig are out of form while St. Pauli are playing well and have a good recent record in this fixture, this match looks like it could be a close contest. Based on the facts, the most likely outcome is a draw between these two sides, with St. Pauli having a strong chance to avoid defeat.
Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:20 AM
Substitutes for FC St. Pauli REFEREE
B. Brand
- RB Leipzig are the heavy favorites for this Bundesliga clash, with a total prediction advantage of 71.7% over FC St. Pauli.
- Leipzig have been inconsistent at home, losing three of their last five matches, including a 4-1 defeat in their most recent fixture.
- FC St. Pauli come into this match in good form, winning two of their last five games, including an impressive 5-0 victory on the road.
- In head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig have a 62% advantage, though their last three encounters have all resulted in draws or narrow losses.
- The most recent meeting between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw earlier this season.
- RB Leipzig average 1.86 goals per game this season, significantly higher than St. Pauli’s 1.39, highlighting a notable attacking edge.
- Leipzig dominate on attack with a 77% advantage, making their forward line a key factor in this matchup.
- Defensively, Leipzig also hold a clear edge (61%), which could be crucial against a St. Pauli side that struggles to create high-quality chances.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favors the home side, giving Leipzig an 80% chance of scoring more goals.
- St. Pauli’s away form has been mixed: while they secured a massive 5-0 win in April, they also lost 2-0 in their most recent road game.
- RB Leipzig average 54.92% possession per match, while St. Pauli hold 51.24%, suggesting a midfield battle that Leipzig are likely to control.
- The highest betting odds for a Leipzig win are at 1.34 (1xBet), reflecting the bookmakers' confidence in a home victory.
Last matches for RBL
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
RB Leipzig
1
Como
4
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
1
SC Freiburg
4
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
2
FC St. Pauli
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
1
Bayer Leverkusen
4
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
3
Union Berlin
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
2
Werder Bremen
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
5
1899 Hoffenheim
0
Bundesliga 2025-2026
RB Leipzig
2
FC Augsburg
1
Last matches for FCS
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
FC St. Pauli
1
VfL Wolfsburg
0
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
FC St. Pauli
2
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
FC St. Pauli
1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
FC St. Pauli
2
Holstein Kiel
2
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
FC St. Pauli
1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
VfL Wolfsburg
3
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
RB Leipzig
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
FSV Mainz 05
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
0
1. FC Heidenheim
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
Union Berlin
1
