FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
|
Probability %
1
x
2
34%
29%
37%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
52%
48%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
| HŠ¢/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
|
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
20%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
53%
47%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
|
Probability %
52%
|
Pred
Away +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.59
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli are in poor form heading into this match. They have not won in their last two games and, more importantly, they have lost their most recent home match heavily. In fact, looking at their last five games, they have suffered two clear defeats. In contrast, FSV Mainz 05 are in excellent shape. They have won three of their last five matches, including an impressive victory away from home where they scored four goals. Their only loss in that run was a very close game.
Recent meetings between these two sides have been tight and low-scoring affairs, with two of the last three games ending 0-0. Given Mainz's strong recent form and St. Pauli's struggles, this looks like a contest the visitors are likely to edge. The match is expected to be close, but FSV Mainz 05 is the more likely winner here.
Last Updated: 01 May 2026 07:22 AM
Substitutes for FC St. Pauli
Substitutes for FSV Mainz 05 REFEREE
T. Gerach
STADIUM
Millerntor-Stadion
LOCATION
Hamburg
- Mainz 05 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 93% of the key matchup statistics.
- The last three encounters have produced only two goals, with the most recent ending 0-0 in December 2025.
- Mainz 05 are in excellent form, winning three of their last five away matches and four of their last five overall.
- FC St. Pauli have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last three matches at Millerntor-Stadion.
- Mainz 05 hold a significant edge in form (78%) and attack (73%) according to the statistical comparison.
- St. Pauliās average of 1.39 goals per game is only marginally higher than Mainzās 1.35, suggesting a tight contest.
- Mainz 05 are predicted as heavy favourites, with a 73.5% total advantage over St. Pauli.
- The betting market heavily favours a Mainz 05 draw or win, with a double chance odds of 1.47 at 1xBet.
- St. Pauliās defensive rating is slightly better (42% vs 58%), but Mainz dominate in goalscoring predictions (79%).
- St. Pauli have kept two clean sheets in their last five matches, but Mainz have scored in four of their last five away games.
- St. Pauli average 51.24% possession, while Mainz see less of the ball at 45.12%, yet remain more clinical.
- Mainz 05 receive more yellow cards on average (3 per game) compared to St. Pauli (1), indicating a more aggressive style.
Last matches for FCS
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
FSV Mainz 05
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
0
1. FC Heidenheim
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
1. FC Kƶln
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
0
Bayern München
5
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
Union Berlin
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
SC Freiburg
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
0
Borussia Mƶnchengladbach
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
0
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
1
1899 Hoffenheim
0
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FC St. Pauli
0
Bayer Leverkusen
4
Last matches for FSV
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
FC St. Pauli
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
3
Bayern München
4
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Borussia Mƶnchengladbach
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
0
SC Freiburg
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
1899 Hoffenheim
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
Werder Bremen
0
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
VfB Stuttgart
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Bayer Leverkusen
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Hamburger SV
1
