Nacional vs Guimaraes

Nacional
l w w l l
2 - 0
0.93
xG
1.38
Full Time
Guimaraes
d w w l l
J. Ramirez
69'
J. Ramirez
86'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Guimaraes

Nacional have been in poor form recently, losing three of their last five matches, though they did manage two wins away from home. Guimaraes have also had a mixed run, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games, but they are coming off a strong 1-0 away victory. The recent head-to-head meetings between these two sides have been tight, often with a few goals. The last three games all had two or more goals, including a 2-2 draw and a 2-1 win for Guimaraes.

This looks like a very close match, with both teams showing similar levels of form and strength. Guimaraes have a slight edge in their recent head-to-head results and are in decent shape after their last win, while Nacional are a bit inconsistent. A draw seems the most likely outcome, as neither side looks dominant enough to clearly win, but Guimaraes are a strong bet to avoid defeat.

Last Updated: 14 May 2026 07:22 AM
starting lineups
 
Kaique Pereira
6.6
 
Jose Gomes
 
Ze Vitor
 
Léo Santos
 
A. Nunez
 
C. Labidi
6.5
 
Matheus Dias
6.9
 
Filipe Soares
 
Paulinho Boia
8.7
 
J. Ramirez
6.6
 
Witi
 
Charles Silva
6.2
 
F. Dias
 
R. Abascal
 
Thiago Balieiro
 
Miguel Maga
 
Rica Rocha
 
O. Camara
 
Samu
 
G. Nogueira
 
T. Arcanjo
 
Gustavo
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Nacional
Pablo Ruan
70' Out: Witi
70
A. Sousa
' Out: C. Labidi
90
C. Goncalves
90' Out: Filipe Soares
90
J. Aurelio
' Out: Paulinho Boia
90
Substitutes for Guimaraes
N. Saviolo
' Out: O. Camara
62
H. Nunes
80' Out: R. Rocha
80
Zeega
' Out: Samu
80
M. Nogueira
' Out: T. Arcanjo
80
statistics
35 Ball Possession 65
2 Goals 0
0.93 Expected Goals 1.38
match facts

REFEREE

R. Baixinho

  • Guimaraes are strong favorites to at least avoid defeat, with a prediction suggesting a "Draw or Guimaraes" double chance.
  • The away side holds a clear edge in recent head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five meetings against Nacional.
  • Both teams are nearly identical in average goals scored this season, with Nacional at 1.23 and Guimaraes at 1.27 per game.
  • Guimaraes enjoy slightly more possession on average (50.29%) compared to Nacional (48.42%).
  • Nacional have had mixed form at home recently, winning two of their last five but losing the other three.
  • Guimaraes have been inconsistent on the road, with two wins, two losses, and one draw from their last five away matches.
  • The most recent clash between these sides ended in a 2-1 victory for Guimaraes back in January 2026.
  • Statistically, Guimaraes hold the advantage in attack (56% vs 44%) and overall form (54% vs 46%) according to pre-match comparisons.
  • Nacional are slightly stronger defensively on paper, with a 54% defensive rating compared to Guimaraes' 46%.
  • The match prediction gives Guimaraes a 45% chance of winning, a 45% chance of a draw, and only a 10% chance for a Nacional home victory.
  • For fans seeking value, the best odds for a draw or Guimaraes double chance are priced at 1.93 with bookmaker SBO.
  • Both teams average a similar number of shots per game, with Nacional at 11.78 and Guimaraes at 12.66, suggesting a tight contest.
Last Updated: 14 May 2026 07:22 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
21 Corners 25
88 Fouls 102
7 Offsides 12
63 Shots 66
21 Shots on Goal 20
15 Yellow Cards 13
0 Red Cards 0
8 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 8
2 Clean Sheets 0
primeira liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#8
34
12
6
16
-12
42
#14
34
9
7
18
-8
34