Nacional vs Guimaraes
Double chance : draw or Guimaraes
Nacional have been in poor form recently, losing three of their last five matches, though they did manage two wins away from home. Guimaraes have also had a mixed run, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games, but they are coming off a strong 1-0 away victory. The recent head-to-head meetings between these two sides have been tight, often with a few goals. The last three games all had two or more goals, including a 2-2 draw and a 2-1 win for Guimaraes.
This looks like a very close match, with both teams showing similar levels of form and strength. Guimaraes have a slight edge in their recent head-to-head results and are in decent shape after their last win, while Nacional are a bit inconsistent. A draw seems the most likely outcome, as neither side looks dominant enough to clearly win, but Guimaraes are a strong bet to avoid defeat.
Last Updated: 14 May 2026 07:22 AM
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R. Baixinho
- Guimaraes are strong favorites to at least avoid defeat, with a prediction suggesting a "Draw or Guimaraes" double chance.
- The away side holds a clear edge in recent head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five meetings against Nacional.
- Both teams are nearly identical in average goals scored this season, with Nacional at 1.23 and Guimaraes at 1.27 per game.
- Guimaraes enjoy slightly more possession on average (50.29%) compared to Nacional (48.42%).
- Nacional have had mixed form at home recently, winning two of their last five but losing the other three.
- Guimaraes have been inconsistent on the road, with two wins, two losses, and one draw from their last five away matches.
- The most recent clash between these sides ended in a 2-1 victory for Guimaraes back in January 2026.
- Statistically, Guimaraes hold the advantage in attack (56% vs 44%) and overall form (54% vs 46%) according to pre-match comparisons.
- Nacional are slightly stronger defensively on paper, with a 54% defensive rating compared to Guimaraes' 46%.
- The match prediction gives Guimaraes a 45% chance of winning, a 45% chance of a draw, and only a 10% chance for a Nacional home victory.
- For fans seeking value, the best odds for a draw or Guimaraes double chance are priced at 1.93 with bookmaker SBO.
- Both teams average a similar number of shots per game, with Nacional at 11.78 and Guimaraes at 12.66, suggesting a tight contest.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2020-2021
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2020-2021
Nacional
Last matches for NAC
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
2
Guimaraes
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Santa Clara
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
1
AVS
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
2
Tondela
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
1
Alverca
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Benfica
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
2
Estrela
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Famalicao
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Estoril
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
1
Moreirense
1
Last matches for GUI
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
0
Nacional
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
0
Casa Pia
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
1
Sporting CP
5
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
2
Rio Ave
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
1
GIL Vicente
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
1
AVS
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
5
Tondela
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
0
Benfica
3
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
1
Famalicao
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Guimaraes
1
Alverca
1
