Leeds vs Newcastle
L. Miley
32'
J. Bogle
34'
D. Calvert-Lewin
45'+1'
N. Okafor
59'
B. Toure
90'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Leeds
Newcastle
|
Probability %
1
x
2
41%
27%
31%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Leeds
Newcastle
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
44%
56%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Leeds
Newcastle
|
HТ/FT Probability %
23%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Leeds
Newcastle
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
60%
40%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Leeds
Newcastle
|
Probability %
57%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : draw or Newcastle
Leeds come into this one after two straight draws, so they haven't lost recently but also haven't been winning much. Newcastle are in similar shape — a draw and a win in their last couple of games, though they also lost a few before that. When these two have met in recent years, the games have often been tight, with several draws and a couple of low-scoring results mixed in.
This looks like a close match that could go either way. Newcastle have been a bit more dangerous going forward and have had the better of the recent meetings, so they might just edge it — but a draw is also very possible given how evenly matched these sides have been.
Last Updated: 12 Sep 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Leeds 
' Out: A. Tanaka
72
' Out: G. Gudmundsson
72
78' Out: D. Calvert-Lewin
78
' Out: A. Stach
88
- Leeds host Newcastle in the Premier League 2026-2027 at an unnamed venue.
- Kick-off is set for 14 September 2026 at 19:00 GMT.
- Newcastle have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning 3 of the last 8 meetings.
- The last 8 head-to-head clashes include 4 draws, showing how tight this fixture often is.
- The most recent meeting was a thriller: Newcastle won 4-3 in January 2026.
- Leeds are unbeaten in their last 3 matches (W1, D2), though both recent wins came away.
- Newcastle are also unbeaten in their last 3 (W1, D2), including a 2-0 away victory.
- Newcastle average more goals per game (1.43) than Leeds (1.07) this season.
- Leeds average slightly more possession (50.54%) than Newcastle (47.73%).
- Prediction model gives a 45% chance of a draw and a 45% chance of a Newcastle win.
- Recommended bet: Double Chance Draw/Newcastle at odds of 1.63 with 1xBet.
- Newcastle lead the prediction comparison 56.6% to 43.4% overall.
Total
Per Match
41
Corners
57
108
Fouls
107
8
Offsides
13
125
Shots
129
43
Shots on Goal
43
25
Yellow Cards
17
1
Red Cards
0
17
Goals
12
12
Goals Conceded
17
2
Clean Sheets
3
Last matches for LEE 
Premier League 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Leeds
4
Newcastle
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Leeds
1
Brighton
1
D
Premier League 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Leeds
1
Brentford
1
D
Premier League 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Leeds
1
Nottingham Forest
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Leeds
0
West Ham
3
L
Premier League 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Leeds
1
Brighton
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
11 MAY, 2026
Leeds
1
Tottenham
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
01 MAY, 2026
Leeds
3
Burnley
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
22 APR, 2026
Leeds
2
Bournemouth
2
D
Premier League 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Leeds
3
Wolves
0
W
Last matches for NEW
Premier League 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Newcastle
0
Hull City
0
D
Premier League 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Newcastle
1
Leeds
4
L
Premier League 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Newcastle
2
Bournemouth
2
D
Premier League 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Newcastle
2
Tottenham
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Newcastle
2
Liverpool
2
D
Premier League 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Newcastle
0
Fulham
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Newcastle
3
West Ham
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
Newcastle
1
Nottingham Forest
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Newcastle
3
Brighton
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Newcastle
0
Arsenal
1
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.40
Marathonbet
3.60
Bet365
3.15
1xBet
98.82 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
2.40
3.50
3.04
96.96%
1xBet
Bonus
2.40
3.56
3.15
98.52%
Pinnacle
2.36
3.52
3.13
97.34%
Betano
2.35
3.50
2.95
95.22%
SBO
2.32
3.10
2.64
88.31%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.03
Pinnacle
2.40
Pinnacle
3.58
Marathonbet
97.46 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.03
2.40
3.49
96.78%
Betano
2.92
2.18
3.45
91.66%
Marathonbet
2.91
2.16
3.58
92.09%
1xBet
Bonus
2.91
2.16
3.58
92.09%
Bet365
2.88
2.30
3.40
92.93%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.62
William Hill
2.64
Marathonbet
3.10
William Hill
92.33 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.62
2.45
3.10
89.89%
Bet365
2.60
2.60
3.00
90.70%
Marathonbet
2.59
2.64
3.10
91.96%
1xBet
Bonus
2.59
2.64
3.10
91.96%
Betano
2.57
2.60
3.05
90.78%
