Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano
d l w l w
3 - 3
2.22
xG
1.79
Full Time
Real Sociedad
w l w d l
S. Camello
30'
F. Lejeune
84'
Alemao
90'+9'
M. Oyarzabal
22'
O. Oskarsson
63'
M. Oyarzabal
76'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Probability %
1 x 2
34%
28%
38%
Pred
X
Avg. Goal
2.74
Score Pred.
1-2
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
48%
52%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.74
Score Pred.
1-2
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
HТ/FT Probability %
21%
HT Pred.
2
FT Pred.
2
Score Pred.
1-2
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Probability %
Yes/ No
57%
43%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.74
Score Pred.
1-2
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Probability %
53%
Pred
Away +0
Avg. Goal
2.74
Score Pred.
1-2

Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw

Rayo Vallecano are in really poor shape right now. They have lost their last four matches in a row and have only managed one draw in their last five games, without a single win. That is a big worry for them going into this match. Real Sociedad, on the other hand, have had a mixed run but did win their most recent game, which can give them a boost. Before that win, they had lost three of their previous four matches and drawn one.

When these two teams have met in the past, there have usually been goals. Several of their recent meetings ended in high-scoring draws, like 2-2 and 3-3, and the games have often been very tight. Given Rayo Vallecano's terrible form and Real Sociedad's slight recent improvement, this match looks like it will be a close contest, but Real Sociedad seem in a better position to get the win.

Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 07:21 AM
starting lineups
 
D. Cardenas
 
P. Chavarria
6.7
 
N. Mendy
6.7
 
F. Lejeune
6.2
 
A. Ratiu
6.3
 
P. Ciss
 
U. Lopez
 
Carlos Martín
6
 
I. Palazon
 
I. Akhomach
7.7
 
S. Camello
 
A. Remiro
7.5
 
S. Gomez
 
D. Caleta-Car
 
J. Martin
 
J. Aramburu
 
A. Barrenetxea
 
Beñat Turrientes
6.3
 
C. Soler
6.3
 
T. Kubo
8.5
 
M. Oyarzabal
7.3
 
O. Oskarsson
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Rayo Vallecano
P. Diaz
' Out: Carlos Martín
64
J. de Frutos
64' Out: S. Camello
64
Alemao
64' Out: N. Mendy
64
G. Gumbau
68' Out: I. Palazon
68
F. Perez
' Out: U. Lopez
82
Substitutes for Real Sociedad
L. Sucic
56' Out: T. Kubo
56
P. Marin
' Out: A. Barrenetxea
56
J. Gorrotxategi
67' Out: O. Oskarsson
67
Y. Herrera
' Out: Beñat Turrientes
67
Aihen Muñoz
90' Out: S. Gomez
90
statistics
58 Ball Possession 42
3 Goals 3
2.22 Expected Goals 1.79
match facts

REFEREE

J. Luis Guzman Mansilla

  • Rayo Vallecano enter the match on a run of four straight defeats, and have not won in their last five league outings.
  • Real Sociedad have lost three of their last five matches, but picked up a vital 1-0 away win in their most recent fixture.
  • The two sides have drawn three of their last five competitive meetings, including a 2-2 thriller in March 2025.
  • Rayo Vallecano have not beaten Real Sociedad at home since January 2023, when they won 2-0.
  • The prediction model gives Rayo Vallecano a 45% chance of winning, the same as the draw, while Real Sociedad are rated at just 10%.
  • The recommended betting tip is "Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano or Draw", reflecting the tight nature of this contest.
  • Real Sociedad hold a significant edge in attack (79% vs 21%) according to the pre-match comparison, but Rayo lead in defensive stats (63% vs 38%).
  • Averages suggest a low-scoring affair: Rayo Vallecano score 1.02 goals per game, while Real Sociedad average 1.24 goals per match.
  • Real Sociedad enjoy more possession on average (54.27%) compared to Rayo Vallecano (51.66%).
  • Rayo Vallecano typically fire more shots per game (13.14) than their visitors (11.82), but have struggled to convert those chances recently.
  • The h2h record over the past four seasons leans slightly in Rayo Vallecano's favor (62% vs 38%), though recent draws dominate.
  • Both teams average a similar number of yellow cards per game (2 each), suggesting a moderately disciplined contest.
Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 07:21 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
44 Corners 49
163 Fouls 135
19 Offsides 23
117 Shots 103
40 Shots on Goal 44
30 Yellow Cards 18
1 Red Cards 0
12 Goals 14
14 Goals Conceded 12
2 Clean Sheets 3
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#8
33
11
10
12
0
43
#15
33
8
13
12
-11
37
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

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2.59
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98.82 %
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3.20
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2.85
3.35
2.55
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3.50
Marathonbet
2.30
Pinnacle
3.21
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2.09
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92.02%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
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3.21
96.74%
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3.40
2.20
3.00
92.42%
Betano Betano Logo
3.35
2.10
3.15
91.56%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.10
William Hill
2.57
Betano
2.80
William Hill
93.56 %
BOOKMAKERS
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AWAY
PAYOUTS
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3.10
2.30
2.80
89.73%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
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2.54
2.72
92.08%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
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2.54
2.72
92.08%
Unibet Unibet Logo
3.00
2.55
2.80
92.37%