Bayern München vs Arsenal

Bayern München
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Arsenal
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Predictions

Combo Double chance : draw or Arsenal and +1.5 goals

Bayern München are heading into this game after a tough run of results. They have only won once in their last five matches, with two losses and two draws, and they have been conceding a lot of goals in those games. Arsenal have also been a bit up and down lately, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five, but they have looked a bit more solid overall.

Historically, these two teams have played some close and exciting matches against each other, with goals in a couple of the recent meetings. Given Bayern's current struggles and Arsenal's slightly more balanced form, this looks like a very close and open contest. It would not be surprising to see the game end in a draw, as both sides seem to have similar strengths and weaknesses right now.

Last Updated: 01 Sep 2026 06:05 AM

WHO WILL WIN?

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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?

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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?

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match facts
  • Bayern München and Arsenal meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, a rematch of their dramatic 2024 quarter-final tie, which finished 2-2 on aggregate before Bayern advanced on penalties.
  • Arsenal have won the last two official meetings, including a 3-1 victory in November 2025 and a 1-0 win in April 2024 — suggesting a recent psychological edge over Bayern.
  • Bayern's recent form is shaky, losing 5-1 at home in their last outing (May 16, 2026) and grabbing just one win in their last five matches (W1 D2 L2).
  • Arsenal arrive in stronger form on the road, with a 1-0 win in their latest away match (August 31, 2026) but have also suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat recently (August 21, 2026).
  • Prediction models rate this as a near 50-50 tie: 45% for a draw, 45% for an Arsenal win, and just 10% for a Bayern victory.
  • The "Double chance: draw or Arsenal" is the top betting tip, which aligns with Arsenal's recent head-to-head dominance over the German giants.
  • Bayern are statistically more potent in attack, averaging 2.77 goals per game compared to Arsenal’s 1.66, but they also concede significantly more.
  • Bayern dominate possession on average (63.49%) versus Arsenal (55.87%), suggesting they will control the ball but may struggle to break down a compact Arsenal defense.
  • Bayern fire far more shots per game (18.39) than Arsenal (14.64), yet their defensive vulnerabilities (seen in the 5-1 and 5-4 losses) make them risky favorites.
  • In the last three head-to-head encounters, Arsenal have scored in every match, and 7 total goals were produced across those games, averaging over 2.3 goals per clash.
  • Head-to-head analytics heavily favor Arsenal (62%) over Bayern (38%), reinforcing the trend that Bayern have struggled to get results in this fixture recently.
  • Match prediction models also give Arsenal the edge in the goals market (57% vs 43%), indicating they are expected to score more than Bayern in this Champions League showdown.
Last Updated: 01 Sep 2026 06:05 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
10 Corners 11
35 Fouls 42
3 Offsides 8
31 Shots 34
7 Shots on Goal 15
6 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 4
1 Clean Sheets 0
last matches
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#7
2
2
0
0
4
6
#10
2
1
1
0
5
4