Bayern München vs Arsenal
Combo Double chance : draw or Arsenal and +1.5 goals
Bayern München are heading into this game after a tough run of results. They have only won once in their last five matches, with two losses and two draws, and they have been conceding a lot of goals in those games. Arsenal have also been a bit up and down lately, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five, but they have looked a bit more solid overall.
Historically, these two teams have played some close and exciting matches against each other, with goals in a couple of the recent meetings. Given Bayern's current struggles and Arsenal's slightly more balanced form, this looks like a very close and open contest. It would not be surprising to see the game end in a draw, as both sides seem to have similar strengths and weaknesses right now.
Last Updated: 01 Sep 2026 06:05 AMWHO WILL WIN?
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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
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- Bayern München and Arsenal meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, a rematch of their dramatic 2024 quarter-final tie, which finished 2-2 on aggregate before Bayern advanced on penalties.
- Arsenal have won the last two official meetings, including a 3-1 victory in November 2025 and a 1-0 win in April 2024 — suggesting a recent psychological edge over Bayern.
- Bayern's recent form is shaky, losing 5-1 at home in their last outing (May 16, 2026) and grabbing just one win in their last five matches (W1 D2 L2).
- Arsenal arrive in stronger form on the road, with a 1-0 win in their latest away match (August 31, 2026) but have also suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat recently (August 21, 2026).
- Prediction models rate this as a near 50-50 tie: 45% for a draw, 45% for an Arsenal win, and just 10% for a Bayern victory.
- The "Double chance: draw or Arsenal" is the top betting tip, which aligns with Arsenal's recent head-to-head dominance over the German giants.
- Bayern are statistically more potent in attack, averaging 2.77 goals per game compared to Arsenal’s 1.66, but they also concede significantly more.
- Bayern dominate possession on average (63.49%) versus Arsenal (55.87%), suggesting they will control the ball but may struggle to break down a compact Arsenal defense.
- Bayern fire far more shots per game (18.39) than Arsenal (14.64), yet their defensive vulnerabilities (seen in the 5-1 and 5-4 losses) make them risky favorites.
- In the last three head-to-head encounters, Arsenal have scored in every match, and 7 total goals were produced across those games, averaging over 2.3 goals per clash.
- Head-to-head analytics heavily favor Arsenal (62%) over Bayern (38%), reinforcing the trend that Bayern have struggled to get results in this fixture recently.
- Match prediction models also give Arsenal the edge in the goals market (57% vs 43%), indicating they are expected to score more than Bayern in this Champions League showdown.
Last matches for BAY
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Bayern München
3
Viking
3
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Bayern München
5
Bodo/Glimt
0
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bayern München
5
1. FC Köln
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bayern München
1
VfL Wolfsburg
0
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 — Knockout Stage
Bayern München
1
Paris Saint Germain
1
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bayern München
3
1. FC Heidenheim
3
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 — Knockout Stage
Bayern München
4
Paris Saint Germain
5
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bayern München
4
FSV Mainz 05
3
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bayern München
4
VfB Stuttgart
2
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bayern München
5
FC St. Pauli
0
Last matches for ARS
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Arsenal
3
Lille
0
Premier League 2026-2027
Arsenal
2
Leeds
1
Premier League 2026-2027
Arsenal
0
Brighton
3
Premier League 2026-2027
Arsenal
2
Sunderland
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Arsenal
1
Napoli
0
Premier League 2026-2027
Arsenal
2
Chelsea
1
Premier League 2026-2027
Arsenal
1
Aston Villa
0
Premier League 2026-2027
Arsenal
3
Coventry
0
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 — Knockout Stage
Arsenal
1
Paris Saint Germain
1
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
1
Burnley
0
