FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
D. Kohr
15'
Paul Nebel
29'
S. Becker
45'+2'
N. Jackson
53'
M. Olise
73'
J. Musiala
80'
H. Kane
83'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Winner : Bayern München
Mainz have been in decent shape recently, with a couple of wins and a draw in their last few games. Bayern, on the other hand, have had a mixed run, winning some but also losing their last two matches. When these teams met earlier in the season, they played out a very exciting draw with plenty of goals.
Looking at their recent history, Bayern have usually come out on top in these meetings, and many of those games have seen a lot of goals scored. Based on the overall pattern, Bayern München are the team expected to win this match.
Last Updated: 23 Apr 2026 07:24 AM
Substitutes for FSV Mainz 05 A. Sieb
71' Out: S. Becker
71
L. Maloney
' Out: N. Amiri
79
A. Caci
' Out: S. Widmer
80
N. Weiper
85' Out: D. Kohr
85
W. Boving
85' Out: Paul Nebel
85
Substitutes for Bayern München H. Kane
' Out: A. Pavlovic
46
M. Olise
' Out: L. Diaz
46
J. Stanisic
' Out: A. Davies
57
J. Musiala
' Out: R. Guerreiro
57
Jonathan Tah
' Out: B. Ndiaye
77
REFEREE
M. Petersen
STADIUM
MEWA ARENA
LOCATION
Mainz
- FSV Mainz 05 hosts Bayern München in Bundesliga 2025-2026 action at the MEWA ARENA.
- Bayern München are the predicted winners with a 45% chance, the same probability as a draw.
- Mainz's last five matches show solid form: three wins, one draw, and one loss.
- Bayern's recent form is mixed, with two wins and two losses in their last four Bundesliga games.
- Bayern dominates the historical head-to-head, winning 9 of the last 11 meetings.
- The most recent encounter in December 2025 ended in a 2-2 draw.
- Bayern's attack is potent, averaging 2.78 goals per match compared to Mainz's 1.34.
- Bayern also averages significantly more shots per game (18.44) than Mainz (12.57).
- Possession is a key battleground; Bayern averages 63.4% possession to Mainz's 45.2%.
- Statistical models heavily favor Bayern in attack (71%) and goal probability (78%).
- Mainz shows a defensive edge in the comparison, rated 56% to Bayern's 44%.
- The highest available odds for a Bayern win are 1.68 from bookmaker 1xBet.
4/
1/
7
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
FSV Mainz 05
3
–
4
25 Apr, 2026
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bayern München
Bayern München
2
–
2
14 Dec, 2025
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3
–
0
26 Apr, 2025
Bundesliga 2024-2025
Bundesliga 2024-2025
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2
–
1
14 Dec, 2024
Bundesliga 2024-2025
Bundesliga 2024-2025
Bayern München
Bayern München
8
–
1
09 Mar, 2024
Bundesliga 2023-2024
Bundesliga 2023-2024
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
1
–
3
21 Oct, 2023
Bundesliga 2023-2024
Bundesliga 2023-2024
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
3
–
1
22 Apr, 2023
Bundesliga 2022-2023
Bundesliga 2022-2023
Bayern München
Bayern München
6
–
2
29 Oct, 2022
Bundesliga 2022-2023
Bundesliga 2022-2023
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
3
–
1
30 Apr, 2022
Bundesliga 2021-2022
Bundesliga 2021-2022
Bayern München
Bayern München
2
–
1
11 Dec, 2021
Bundesliga 2021-2022
Bundesliga 2021-2022
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2
–
1
24 Apr, 2021
Bundesliga 2020-2021
Bundesliga 2020-2021
Bayern München
Bayern München
5
–
2
03 Jan, 2021
Bundesliga 2020-2021
Bundesliga 2020-2021
FSV Mainz 05
Total
Per Match
40
Corners
73
3.3
Corners
6.1
146
Fouls
122
12.2
Fouls
10.2
17
Offsides
17
1.4
Offsides
1.4
146
Shots
193
12.2
Shots
16.1
52
Shots on Goal
81
4.3
Shots on Goal
6.8
22
Yellow Cards
25
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
22
Goals
37
1.8
Goals
3.1
37
Goals Conceded
22
3.1
Goals Conceded
1.8
0
Clean Sheets
1
0
Clean Sheets
0.1
Last matches for FSV
Bundesliga 2025-2026
03 MAY, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
FC St. Pauli
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3
Bayern München
4
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
0
SC Freiburg
1
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
1899 Hoffenheim
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
Werder Bremen
0
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
VfB Stuttgart
2
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Bayer Leverkusen
1
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
20 FEB, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Hamburger SV
1
D
Last matches for BAY
Bundesliga 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Bayern München
3
1. FC Heidenheim
3
D
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
28 APR, 2026
Bayern München
4
Paris Saint Germain
5
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Bayern München
4
FSV Mainz 05
3
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Bayern München
4
VfB Stuttgart
2
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
15 APR, 2026
Bayern München
4
Real Madrid
3
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Bayern München
5
FC St. Pauli
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
07 APR, 2026
Bayern München
2
Real Madrid
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
Bayern München
3
SC Freiburg
2
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Bayern München
4
Union Berlin
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
18 MAR, 2026
Bayern München
4
Atalanta
1
W
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