FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München

FSV Mainz 05
w w w l d
3 - 4
2.40
xG
1.97
Full Time
Bayern München
w w w w w
D. Kohr
15'
Paul Nebel
29'
S. Becker
45'+2'
N. Jackson
53'
M. Olise
73'
J. Musiala
80'
H. Kane
83'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Bayern München

Mainz have been in decent shape recently, with a couple of wins and a draw in their last few games. Bayern, on the other hand, have had a mixed run, winning some but also losing their last two matches. When these teams met earlier in the season, they played out a very exciting draw with plenty of goals.

Looking at their recent history, Bayern have usually come out on top in these meetings, and many of those games have seen a lot of goals scored. Based on the overall pattern, Bayern München are the team expected to win this match.

Last Updated: 23 Apr 2026 07:24 AM
starting lineups
 
D. Batz
6.6
 
D. Kohr
 
S. Posch
 
D. da Costa
 
P. Mwene
 
N. Amiri
 
K. Sano
7
 
Paul Nebel
 
S. Widmer
 
P. Tietz
7.7
 
S. Becker
 
J. Urbig
 
A. Davies
 
H. Ito
 
Kim Min-Jae
6.9
 
Konrad Laimer
 
A. Pavlovic
 
B. Ndiaye
 
L. Diaz
 
L. Goretzka
 
R. Guerreiro
7.7
 
N. Jackson
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for FSV Mainz 05
A. Sieb
71' Out: S. Becker
71
L. Maloney
' Out: N. Amiri
79
A. Caci
' Out: S. Widmer
80
N. Weiper
85' Out: D. Kohr
85
W. Boving
85' Out: Paul Nebel
85
Substitutes for Bayern München
H. Kane
' Out: A. Pavlovic
46
M. Olise
' Out: L. Diaz
46
J. Stanisic
' Out: A. Davies
57
J. Musiala
' Out: R. Guerreiro
57
Jonathan Tah
' Out: B. Ndiaye
77
statistics
30 Ball Possession 70
3 Goals 4
2.40 Expected Goals 1.97
match facts

REFEREE

M. Petersen

STADIUM

MEWA ARENA

LOCATION

Mainz

  • FSV Mainz 05 hosts Bayern München in Bundesliga 2025-2026 action at the MEWA ARENA.
  • Bayern München are the predicted winners with a 45% chance, the same probability as a draw.
  • Mainz's last five matches show solid form: three wins, one draw, and one loss.
  • Bayern's recent form is mixed, with two wins and two losses in their last four Bundesliga games.
  • Bayern dominates the historical head-to-head, winning 9 of the last 11 meetings.
  • The most recent encounter in December 2025 ended in a 2-2 draw.
  • Bayern's attack is potent, averaging 2.78 goals per match compared to Mainz's 1.34.
  • Bayern also averages significantly more shots per game (18.44) than Mainz (12.57).
  • Possession is a key battleground; Bayern averages 63.4% possession to Mainz's 45.2%.
  • Statistical models heavily favor Bayern in attack (71%) and goal probability (78%).
  • Mainz shows a defensive edge in the comparison, rated 56% to Bayern's 44%.
  • The highest available odds for a Bayern win are 1.68 from bookmaker 1xBet.
Last Updated: 23 Apr 2026 07:24 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
40 Corners 73
146 Fouls 122
17 Offsides 17
146 Shots 193
52 Shots on Goal 81
22 Yellow Cards 25
0 Red Cards 0
22 Goals 37
37 Goals Conceded 22
0 Clean Sheets 1
last matches
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
32
26
5
1
81
83
#10
32
9
10
13
-9
37