Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio

Atletico Paranaense
l l w l w
0 - 0
0.94
xG
0.93
Full Time
Gremio
l d d l w
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Gremio Gremio
Probability %
1 x 2
57%
26%
18%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Gremio Gremio
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
55%
45%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0
HŠ¢/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Gremio Gremio
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
32%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Gremio Gremio
Probability %
Yes/ No
48%
52%
Pred
No
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Gremio Gremio
Probability %
51%
Pred
Home -0.75
Avg. Goal
2.48
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw

Both teams are not in great shape right now. Atletico Paranaense has lost their last five matches, which is a tough run. Gremio is also struggling, having lost three of their last five games and drawing the other two, without a win.

Looking at their recent meetings, these teams often have low-scoring games with narrow results. Since both sides are low on confidence and struggling to find wins, this match looks very close and could easily end in a draw.

Last Updated: 30 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
Ā 
Santos
5.9
Ā 
L. Esquivel
Ā 
Arthur Dias
Ā 
C. Teran
Ā 
S. Mendoza
Ā 
Felipinho
6.3
Ā 
G. BenavĆ­dez
Ā 
João Cruz
6.2
Ā 
K. Viveros
Ā 
Weverton
Ā 
Wagner Leonardo
Ā 
Gustavo Martins
Ā 
Pedro Gabriel
Ā 
L. PƩrez
Ā 
J. Nardoni
Ā 
C. Pavon
Ā 
J. Enamorado
Ā 
M. Braithwaite
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Atletico Paranaense
' Out:
35
Dudu Kogitzki
' Out:
63
Diogo Riquelme
' Out:
64
Substitutes for Gremio
Andre Henrique
' Out: J. Enamorado
46
Riquelme
' Out:
46
Willian
' Out: J. Nardoni
51
Tete
' Out: M. Braithwaite
65
statistics
46 Ball Possession 54
0.94 Expected Goals 0.93
match facts

REFEREE

S. Pereira Sampaio

  • Atletico Paranaense are on a five-match losing streak across all competitions, their worst run of the season.
  • Gremio have failed to win in their last five away games, drawing two and losing three.
  • In their last eight head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won four, Gremio three, and one ended with over 3.5 goals.
  • Both teams average less than 1.5 goals per game this season, suggesting a low-scoring affair.
  • Gremio hold the edge in average possession (49.5%) compared to Atletico Paranaense (48.4%).
  • The prediction model gives Atletico Paranaense a 35% chance to win, with the same probability for a draw.
  • Atletico Paranaense have a much stronger attacking rating (75%) than Gremio (25%) but are weaker defensively (36% vs 64%).
  • Gremio have kept clean sheets in two of their last three away matches.
  • The last time these sides met, Atletico Paranaense won 2-0 away from home.
  • William Hill offers the best odds (1.29) for a 'Double Chance' bet on Atletico Paranaense or draw.
  • Atletico Paranaense have conceded an average of 3.2 goals per game in their last five losses.
  • Gremio's last away win against this opponent came in 2021, a 1-0 victory.
Last Updated: 30 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
49 Corners 37
124 Fouls 125
10 Offsides 10
106 Shots 95
31 Shots on Goal 35
24 Yellow Cards 22
3 Red Cards 2
9 Goals 12
12 Goals Conceded 9
2 Clean Sheets 4
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
14
7
2
5
5
23
#13
14
4
5
5
-1
17
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.73
1xBet
3.80
Pinnacle
5.50
Betano
97.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.73
3.72
5.14
96.02%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.73
3.70
5.20
96.10%
Unibet Unibet Logo
1.72
3.55
4.90
93.71%
Betano Betano Logo
1.72
3.80
5.50
97.43%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.71
3.80
5.34
96.60%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.38
Bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
5.79
Pinnacle
96.95 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.38
2.20
5.50
94.65%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.34
2.28
5.79
96.28%
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.33
2.20
5.00
92.27%
Unknown Unknown Logo
2.30
2.10
5.25
90.79%
SBO SBO Logo
2.26
2.08
5.42
90.27%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.15
William Hill
2.55
Unibet
4.85
Marathonbet
94.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.15
2.30
4.60
89.50%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
2.15
2.30
4.60
89.50%
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.14
2.55
4.40
92.02%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.10
2.40
4.33
88.98%
Betano Betano Logo
2.07
2.42
4.85
90.70%