Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
|
Probability %
1
x
2
57%
26%
18%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
55%
45%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HŠ¢/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
|
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
32%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
48%
52%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Home -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw
Both teams are not in great shape right now. Atletico Paranaense has lost their last five matches, which is a tough run. Gremio is also struggling, having lost three of their last five games and drawing the other two, without a win.
Looking at their recent meetings, these teams often have low-scoring games with narrow results. Since both sides are low on confidence and struggling to find wins, this match looks very close and could easily end in a draw.
Last Updated: 30 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
2
1
0
2d Yellow / Red Cards
1
1
0
7
Corners
3
11
Fouls
13
1
Offsides
2
46
Ball Possession
54
10
Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
0
5
Shots off Goal
5
0
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
5
3
Shots outsidebox
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
365
Total passes
424
288
Passes accurate
369
0.94
Expected Goals
0.93
REFEREE
S. Pereira Sampaio
- Atletico Paranaense are on a five-match losing streak across all competitions, their worst run of the season.
- Gremio have failed to win in their last five away games, drawing two and losing three.
- In their last eight head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won four, Gremio three, and one ended with over 3.5 goals.
- Both teams average less than 1.5 goals per game this season, suggesting a low-scoring affair.
- Gremio hold the edge in average possession (49.5%) compared to Atletico Paranaense (48.4%).
- The prediction model gives Atletico Paranaense a 35% chance to win, with the same probability for a draw.
- Atletico Paranaense have a much stronger attacking rating (75%) than Gremio (25%) but are weaker defensively (36% vs 64%).
- Gremio have kept clean sheets in two of their last three away matches.
- The last time these sides met, Atletico Paranaense won 2-0 away from home.
- William Hill offers the best odds (1.29) for a 'Double Chance' bet on Atletico Paranaense or draw.
- Atletico Paranaense have conceded an average of 3.2 goals per game in their last five losses.
- Gremio's last away win against this opponent came in 2021, a 1-0 victory.
3/
1/
5
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Atletico Paranaense
0
ā
0
02 May, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
ā
2
04 Aug, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Gremio
Gremio
2
ā
0
17 Apr, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
1
ā
2
18 Oct, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
1
ā
2
27 May, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
4
ā
2
26 Sep, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Gremio
Gremio
0
ā
1
13 Jun, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
1
ā
0
21 Feb, 2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
1
ā
2
25 Oct, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Gremio
Total
Per Match
49
Corners
37
5.4
Corners
4.1
124
Fouls
125
13.8
Fouls
13.9
10
Offsides
10
1.1
Offsides
1.1
106
Shots
95
11.8
Shots
10.6
31
Shots on Goal
35
3.4
Shots on Goal
3.9
24
Yellow Cards
22
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.4
3
Red Cards
2
0.3
Red Cards
0.2
9
Goals
12
1
Goals
1.3
12
Goals Conceded
9
1.3
Goals Conceded
1
2
Clean Sheets
4
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.4
Last matches for ATL
Serie A 2026-2027
02 MAY, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
0
Gremio
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
3
Vitoria
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
19 APR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
0
Palmeiras
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 APR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Chapecoense-sc
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
Atletico-MG
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
01 APR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
0
Bahia
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
29 MAR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
4
Botafogo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Coritiba
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 MAR, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Fluminense
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
25 FEB, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
RB Bragantino
1
D
Last matches for GRE
Serie A 2026-2027
02 MAY, 2026
Gremio
0
Atletico Paranaense
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Gremio
1
Coritiba
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
18 APR, 2026
Gremio
0
Cruzeiro
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 APR, 2026
Gremio
0
Internacional
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Gremio
0
remo
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
03 APR, 2026
Gremio
1
Palmeiras
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Gremio
1
Vasco DA Gama
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
19 MAR, 2026
Gremio
2
Vitoria
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
13 MAR, 2026
Gremio
1
RB Bragantino
1
D
GaĆŗcho – 1 2026-2027
01 MAR, 2026
Gremio
3
Internacional
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
1.73
1xBet
3.80
Pinnacle
5.50
Betano
97.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.73
3.72
5.14
96.02%
Dafabet
1.73
3.70
5.20
96.10%
Unibet
1.72
3.55
4.90
93.71%
Betano
1.72
3.80
5.50
97.43%
Pinnacle
1.71
3.80
5.34
96.60%
William Hill
1.70
3.40
4.75
91.50%
Bet365
1.70
3.70
5.25
95.33%
888Sport
Bonus
1.70
3.40
4.75
91.50%
SBO
1.69
3.42
4.84
91.68%
Marathonbet
1.68
3.62
5.00
93.33%
10Bet
1.67
3.55
5.25
93.37%
Betfair
1.67
3.60
5.00
92.89%
Unknown
1.67
3.60
5.25
93.72%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.38
Bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
5.79
Pinnacle
96.95 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.38
2.20
5.50
94.65%
Pinnacle
2.34
2.28
5.79
96.28%
Unibet
2.33
2.20
5.00
92.27%
Unknown
2.30
2.10
5.25
90.79%
SBO
2.26
2.08
5.42
90.27%
William Hill
2.25
2.15
4.80
89.45%
Marathonbet
2.25
2.10
5.45
90.57%
1xBet
Bonus
2.25
2.10
5.45
90.57%
888Sport
Bonus
2.25
2.15
4.80
89.45%
Betano
2.22
2.18
5.40
91.38%
10Bet
2.20
2.15
5.25
90.08%
Betfair
2.20
2.10
5.00
88.44%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.15
William Hill
2.55
Unibet
4.85
Marathonbet
94.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.15
2.30
4.60
89.50%
888Sport
Bonus
2.15
2.30
4.60
89.50%
Unibet
2.14
2.55
4.40
92.02%
Bet365
2.10
2.40
4.33
88.98%
Betano
2.07
2.42
4.85
90.70%
10Bet
2.05
2.40
4.75
89.69%
Marathonbet
2.04
2.45
4.85
90.54%
1xBet
Bonus
2.04
2.45
4.85
90.54%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.16
SBO
1.78
Unibet
97.58 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
SBO
2.16
1.72
23.88%
Pinnacle
2.12
1.78
10.71%
Bet365
2.10
1.70
13.65%
Betfair
2.10
1.65
15.49%
Betano
2.10
1.78
7.37%
1xBet
Bonus
2.09
1.78
4.59%
Marathonbet
2.05
1.74
5.36%
Unibet
2.02
1.78
7.86%
10Bet
2.00
1.77
18.84%
888Sport
Bonus
2.00
1.73
15.67%
Unknown
1.99
1.70
9.23%
HIGHEST ODDS
9.00
Bet365
1.10
Betano
98.02 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
9.00
1.07
23.67%
Unknown
8.50
1.05
15.33%
Betfair
8.00
1.05
30.82%
William Hill
7.50
1.08
23.43%
Unibet
7.50
1.05
13.26%
Marathonbet
7.40
1.03
18.42%
1xBet
Bonus
7.40
1.03
9.24%
10Bet
6.50
1.08
30.91%
Betano
6.50
1.10
13.57%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.24%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.90%
HIGHEST ODDS
5.50
Bet365
1.16
Betano
95.80 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
5.50
1.14
23.56%
Marathonbet
5.05
1.12
18.47%
1xBet
Bonus
5.05
1.12
9.28%
William Hill
5.00
1.14
23.39%
Betano
5.00
1.16
31.43%
888Sport
Bonus
5.00
1.14
23.39%
10Bet
4.80
1.14
30.76%
Unibet
4.80
1.14
30.66%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.33
10Bet
3.99
Pinnacle
99.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
10Bet
1.33
3.10
31.08%
Unknown
1.29
3.20
15.29%
Pinnacle
1.28
3.99
9.68%
Bet365
1.27
3.55
6.75%
Marathonbet
1.22
3.50
5.67%
1xBet
Bonus
1.22
3.50
5.74%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
91.72%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
23.31%
SBO
-
-
-
-
24.03%
Betano
-
-
-
-
12.02%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.35
Bet365
3.38
Pinnacle
96.47 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.35
3.10
9.47%
Pinnacle
1.35
3.38
19.28%
10Bet
1.33
3.20
93.95%
Marathonbet
1.32
3.04
13.07%
1xBet
Bonus
1.32
3.04
11.44%
Unknown
1.30
3.10
18.32%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.94%
Betano
-
-
-
-
23.80%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.31
Marathonbet
3.08
Marathonbet
91.91 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.31
3.08
11.43%
1xBet
Bonus
1.31
3.08
9.15%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.00
Betano
1.84
Unibet
95.83 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Betano
2.00
1.75
93.33%
Bet365
1.95
1.80
93.60%
Marathonbet
1.95
1.74
91.95%
Betfair
1.95
1.75
92.23%
Unknown
1.95
1.75
92.23%
1xBet
Bonus
1.95
1.76
92.51%
10Bet
1.93
1.77
92.33%
William Hill
1.91
1.83
93.46%
888Sport
Bonus
1.91
1.83
93.46%
Unibet
1.86
1.84
92.50%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.18
Unibet
1.29
William Hill
2.20
Betfair
48.14 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Unibet
1.18
1.28
2.02
47.09%
Betano
1.18
1.27
2.20
47.86%
William Hill
1.17
1.29
2.05
47.22%
Bet365
1.17
1.28
2.00
46.82%
Unknown
1.17
1.22
2.05
46.25%
1xBet
Bonus
1.17
1.28
2.13
47.50%
888Sport
Bonus
1.17
1.29
2.05
47.22%
10Bet
1.15
1.22
2.10
46.18%
Marathonbet
1.15
1.26
2.10
46.74%
Betfair
1.14
1.25
2.20
46.91%
SBO
1.11
1.24
2.20
46.26%
