Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
1
x
2
51%
28%
20%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.38
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
58%
42%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.38
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HŠ¢/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
|
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
29%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
47%
53%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.38
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
55%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.38
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw
Vasco da Gama have been struggling recently, with three losses and two draws in their last five matches. They have only managed to win one of those games, and while they have been scoring, they have also been conceding goals pretty freely. Atletico Paranaense are in even worse shape, having lost four of their last five away games and drawing the other one without scoring. They have been very poor on the road, finding goals hard to come by.
Looking at recent meetings between the sides, the games have often been tight and low-scoring, with several 1-0 results. The most recent match was a 2-1 win for Atletico Paranaense. Given how badly Atletico Paranaense have been playing away from home, and Vasco's own inconsistent form, this looks like a close match where a draw is a very possible outcome, though Vasco might just have the edge as the home side.
Last Updated: 08 May 2026 07:21 PM
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
Substitutes for Atletico Paranaense REFEREE
R. Claus
- Vasco da Gama hosts Athletico Paranaense in a Serie A match with the odds leaning slightly towards the home side, but a draw is a strong possibility (35%).
- The last six head-to-head meetings have been tight, with no clear favorite: Vasco has 1 win, Athletico 3, and 2 draws.
- Vascoās recent form is poor, with 4 matches without a win (2 losses, 2 draws) in their last five outings.
- Athletico Paranaense are in even worse form, winless in their last five matches, suffering four defeats and one draw.
- Vasco averages 1.12 goals per game, while Athletico scores slightly more at 1.26, suggesting a low-scoring affair is likely.
- Athletico hold a significant advantage in defensive stats (64% vs 36%), indicating a potential struggle for Vasco to break them down.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favors Vasco (63%), suggesting they are the more likely side to score based on expected goals.
- Vascoās median shots per game (16.5) are much higher than Athleticoās (9), hinting at more attacking pressure from the home team.
- Athleticoās average possession (48.3%) is slightly lower than Vascoās (50.5%), but they are more efficient with the ball when they have it.
- The best betting advice according to the data is "Double Chance: Vasco da Gama or Draw," with odds of 1.28 at Betano.
- Vasco has lost their last two home matches, while Athletico have lost three consecutive away games, creating a clash of poor form.
- The total prediction is almost evenly split (48.5% vs 51.5%), reinforcing the uncertainty and potential for a draw or narrow result.
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
Serie A 2024-2025
Atletico Paranaense
Serie A 2024-2025
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2023-2024
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2023-2024
Atletico Paranaense
Serie A 2020-2021
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2020-2021
Atletico Paranaense
Last matches for VAS
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Atletico Paranaense
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
2
Flamengo
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Corinthians
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
2
Sao Paulo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
remo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Botafogo
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Coritiba
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
2
Gremio
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
3
Fluminense
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
3
Cruzeiro
3
Last matches for ATL
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
0
Vasco DA Gama
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
0
Gremio
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
3
Vitoria
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
0
Palmeiras
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
2
Chapecoense-sc
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
1
Atletico-MG
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
0
Bahia
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
4
Botafogo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
2
Coritiba
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
2
Fluminense
3
