Flamengo vs Bahia
G. de Arrascaeta
17'
Lucas Paqueta
80'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flamengo
Bahia
|
Probability %
1
x
2
64%
23%
13%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flamengo
Bahia
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
46%
54%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flamengo
Bahia
|
HТ/FT Probability %
38%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flamengo
Bahia
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
49%
51%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flamengo
Bahia
|
Probability %
50%
|
Pred
Home -1
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : Flamengo or draw
Flamengo has been having a tough time recently, losing three of their last five matches and only winning one. On the other hand, Bahia has shown better form lately, winning two of their last five games. When these two teams have met in the past, their matches have often been very open and exciting, with lots of goals scored.
Considering Flamengo's recent struggles and Bahia's better current shape, this match looks like it could be very close. Based on how both teams are performing right now, the most likely outcome is a draw.
Last Updated: 17 Apr 2026 07:21 PMÂ
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Substitutes for Flamengo Bruno Henrique
' Out: Samuel Lino
66
Saúl
' Out: Evertton Araújo
79
N. de la Cruz
79' Out: G. de Arrascaeta
79
Luiz Araújo
' Out: G. Plata
85
Everton
' Out: Pedro
85
Substitutes for Bahia Everaldo
' Out: Willian Jose
46
Caio Alexandre
' Out: Gilberto
46
Michel Araujo
' Out: Everton Ribeiro
74
Ademir
' Out: Erick Pulga
74
M. Sanabria
' Out:
85
REFEREE
F. Rodrigues De Souza
- Flamengo holds a strong historical advantage, winning 4 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- Bahia's last victory over Flamengo was a 2-1 win in June 2024.
- Recent encounters are high-scoring, with 5 of the last 8 matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
- Flamengo's recent form is mixed, with just 1 win in their last 5 matches (W1, D1, L3).
- Bahia comes into the match with better recent form, winning 2 of their last 3 games.
- Flamengo averages 1.59 goals per game, higher than Bahia's 1.24.
- Flamengo typically dominates possession, averaging 57.9% compared to Bahia's 50.1%.
- Median statistics suggest Bahia may see slightly more possession in this match (53% to 47%).
- Bahia's median yellow cards are higher (2 vs 1), indicating a potentially more aggressive approach.
- The overall prediction heavily favors Flamengo not to lose, with a 90% double chance (Home/Draw).
- Head-to-head history is the biggest predictive factor, favoring Flamengo at 80%.
- Flamengo's attacking strength is highlighted by an 83% goals comparison advantage.
9/
0/
0
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Flamengo
2
–
0
19 Apr, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Bahia
Bahia
0
–
2
05 Oct, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Flamengo
Flamengo
2
–
1
20 Jun, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Bahia
Flamengo
1
–
0
30 Sep, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Bahia
Bahia
2
–
3
13 May, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Flamengo
Flamengo
3
–
0
11 Nov, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Bahia
Bahia
0
–
5
18 Jul, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Flamengo
Flamengo
4
–
3
20 Dec, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Bahia
Bahia
3
–
5
02 Sep, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Flamengo
Total
Per Match
59
Corners
38
6.6
Corners
4.2
111
Fouls
125
12.3
Fouls
13.9
20
Offsides
14
2.2
Offsides
1.6
144
Shots
105
16
Shots
11.7
57
Shots on Goal
37
6.3
Shots on Goal
4.1
17
Yellow Cards
25
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.8
2
Red Cards
7
0.2
Red Cards
0.8
27
Goals
9
3
Goals
1
9
Goals Conceded
27
1
Goals Conceded
3
5
Clean Sheets
0
0.6
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for FLA
Serie A 2026-2027
19 APR, 2026
Flamengo
2
Bahia
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 APR, 2026
Flamengo
2
Fluminense
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Flamengo
3
Santos
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
03 APR, 2026
Flamengo
0
RB Bragantino
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Flamengo
1
Corinthians
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
19 MAR, 2026
Flamengo
3
remo
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
14 MAR, 2026
Flamengo
3
Botafogo
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 MAR, 2026
Flamengo
2
Cruzeiro
0
W
Carioca – 1 2026-2027
08 MAR, 2026
Flamengo
0
Fluminense
0
D
Carioca – 1 2026-2027
03 MAR, 2026
Flamengo
0
Madureira
8
L
Last matches for BAH
Serie A 2026-2027
19 APR, 2026
Bahia
0
Flamengo
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 APR, 2026
Bahia
2
Mirassol
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Bahia
1
Palmeiras
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
01 APR, 2026
Bahia
3
Atletico Paranaense
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Bahia
1
remo
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
18 MAR, 2026
Bahia
2
RB Bragantino
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 MAR, 2026
Bahia
1
Internacional
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 MAR, 2026
Bahia
1
Vitoria
1
D
Baiano – 1 2026-2027
07 MAR, 2026
Bahia
2
Vitoria
1
W
Baiano – 1 2026-2027
21 FEB, 2026
Bahia
4
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
1.57
Betano
4.45
Pinnacle
7.50
Unibet
100.50 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano
1.57
4.30
6.40
97.49%
Dafabet
1.53
4.40
6.40
96.42%
10Bet
1.52
4.10
5.90
93.35%
Pinnacle
1.51
4.45
6.79
96.69%
1xBet
Bonus
1.51
4.42
6.43
95.78%
Unknown
1.50
4.20
6.50
94.46%
SBO
1.48
4.06
6.18
92.27%
Marathonbet
1.47
4.25
6.40
93.30%
Bet365
1.45
4.00
5.50
89.17%
William Hill
1.44
4.00
6.00
90.00%
Betfair
1.44
4.33
6.50
92.66%
888Sport
Bonus
1.44
4.00
6.00
90.00%
Unibet
1.43
4.35
7.50
94.12%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.10
Betano
2.52
Pinnacle
6.74
Pinnacle
97.91 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano
2.10
2.25
5.90
91.73%
SBO
2.04
2.24
5.80
90.17%
Pinnacle
2.02
2.52
6.74
96.13%
10Bet
2.00
2.35
5.50
90.31%
Bet365
2.00
2.38
6.00
92.01%
Marathonbet
1.98
2.31
5.95
90.41%
1xBet
Bonus
1.98
2.31
5.95
90.41%
Unibet
1.97
2.35
6.40
91.79%
Unknown
1.95
2.30
6.50
90.79%
William Hill
1.91
2.38
6.00
90.06%
Betfair
1.91
2.40
6.00
90.34%
888Sport
Bonus
1.91
2.38
6.00
90.06%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.85
10Bet
2.88
Unibet
5.75
Unibet
94.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
10Bet
1.85
2.60
5.25
89.64%
William Hill
1.85
2.50
5.50
89.10%
Betano
1.85
2.72
5.20
90.87%
888Sport
Bonus
1.85
2.50
5.50
89.10%
Bet365
1.83
2.60
5.50
89.86%
Marathonbet
1.78
2.74
5.60
90.47%
1xBet
Bonus
1.78
2.74
5.60
90.47%
Unibet
1.77
2.88
5.75
92.07%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.83
Unibet
2.11
SBO
98.00 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Unibet
1.83
1.97
7.88%
Betano
1.83
2.02
7.98%
10Bet
1.80
2.00
18.88%
Bet365
1.80
2.00
11.97%
Pinnacle
1.79
2.10
10.73%
1xBet
Bonus
1.79
2.07
4.18%
Marathonbet
1.76
2.03
5.06%
SBO
1.76
2.11
31.91%
888Sport
Bonus
1.75
1.95
15.55%
Betfair
1.73
2.00
15.41%
Unknown
1.72
1.97
8.40%
HIGHEST ODDS
7.00
Unknown
1.11
10Bet
95.81 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Unknown
7.00
1.07
15.31%
Bet365
6.50
1.11
23.68%
Betfair
6.50
1.08
23.32%
Unibet
6.40
1.07
13.25%
Betano
6.20
1.11
13.56%
William Hill
6.00
1.11
23.33%
Marathonbet
5.90
1.07
18.44%
1xBet
Bonus
5.90
1.07
9.26%
10Bet
5.50
1.11
30.79%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.27%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.83%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.40
William Hill
1.24
Betano
96.74 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
William Hill
4.40
1.18
23.31%
888Sport
Bonus
4.40
1.18
23.31%
10Bet
4.33
1.18
30.86%
Bet365
4.33
1.20
18.94%
Unibet
4.10
1.18
30.56%
Marathonbet
4.05
1.18
18.47%
1xBet
Bonus
4.05
1.18
9.27%
Betano
3.90
1.24
31.41%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.18
Bet365
5.32
Pinnacle
96.58 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.18
4.65
6.74%
Pinnacle
1.18
5.32
10.76%
Marathonbet
1.13
4.60
6.05%
1xBet
Bonus
1.13
4.60
6.07%
10Bet
-
-
-
-
46.87%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
91.62%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
23.34%
Unknown
-
-
-
-
18.36%
SBO
-
-
-
-
32.09%
Betano
-
-
-
-
13.74%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.26
Bet365
4.21
Pinnacle
96.98 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.26
3.70
9.43%
Pinnacle
1.25
4.21
19.27%
Marathonbet
1.22
3.58
10.18%
1xBet
Bonus
1.22
3.58
9.16%
Unknown
1.19
3.95
18.33%
10Bet
-
-
-
-
93.33%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.86%
Betano
-
-
-
-
23.82%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.20
Marathonbet
3.75
Marathonbet
90.91 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.20
3.75
11.42%
1xBet
Bonus
1.20
3.75
10.17%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.96
Unibet
1.91
Bet365
96.73 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Unibet
1.96
1.75
92.45%
Bet365
1.91
1.91
95.50%
Betano
1.88
1.87
93.75%
10Bet
1.85
1.85
92.50%
William Hill
1.85
1.85
92.50%
Marathonbet
1.85
1.83
92.00%
Betfair
1.85
1.85
92.50%
1xBet
Bonus
1.85
1.85
92.50%
888Sport
Bonus
1.85
1.85
92.50%
Unknown
1.83
1.85
92.00%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.15
Betano
1.22
William Hill
2.70
Betfair
48.55 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Betano
1.15
1.22
2.50
47.86%
Unknown
1.13
1.14
2.50
46.25%
888Sport
Bonus
1.13
1.22
2.50
47.51%
10Bet
1.12
1.18
2.45
46.54%
William Hill
1.12
1.22
2.50
47.34%
Bet365
1.12
1.20
2.50
47.03%
1xBet
Bonus
1.12
1.22
2.59
47.65%
Betfair
1.10
1.20
2.70
47.33%
Marathonbet
1.09
1.20
2.56
46.70%
Unibet
1.09
1.21
2.65
47.14%
SBO
1.08
1.19
2.51
46.20%
