Flamengo vs Bahia

Flamengo
w d l w w
2 - 0
1.91
xG
0.57
Full Time
Bahia
w l w l w
G. de Arrascaeta
17'
Lucas Paqueta
80'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Flamengo Flamengo
Bahia Bahia
Probability %
1 x 2
64%
23%
13%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.82
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Flamengo Flamengo
Bahia Bahia
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
46%
54%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.82
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Flamengo Flamengo
Bahia Bahia
HТ/FT Probability %
38%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Flamengo Flamengo
Bahia Bahia
Probability %
Yes/ No
49%
51%
Pred
No
Avg. Goal
2.82
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Flamengo Flamengo
Bahia Bahia
Probability %
50%
Pred
Home -1
Avg. Goal
2.82
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Flamengo or draw

Flamengo has been having a tough time recently, losing three of their last five matches and only winning one. On the other hand, Bahia has shown better form lately, winning two of their last five games. When these two teams have met in the past, their matches have often been very open and exciting, with lots of goals scored.

Considering Flamengo's recent struggles and Bahia's better current shape, this match looks like it could be very close. Based on how both teams are performing right now, the most likely outcome is a draw.

Last Updated: 17 Apr 2026 07:21 PM
starting lineups
 
A. Rossi
 
Alex Sandro
7.3
 
Léo Pereira
 
Léo Ortiz
 
G. Varela
8.5
 
Lucas Paqueta
 
Evertton Araújo
 
Samuel Lino
8.2
 
G. de Arrascaeta
 
G. Plata
 
Pedro
 
Leo Vieira
 
Luciano Juba
 
Santiago Ramos Mingo
 
David Duarte
 
Gilberto
 
Nicolas Acevedo
 
Everton Ribeiro
 
Erick Pulga
 
Willian Jose
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Flamengo
Bruno Henrique
' Out: Samuel Lino
66
Saúl
' Out: Evertton Araújo
79
N. de la Cruz
79' Out: G. de Arrascaeta
79
Luiz Araújo
' Out: G. Plata
85
Everton
' Out: Pedro
85
Substitutes for Bahia
Everaldo
' Out: Willian Jose
46
Caio Alexandre
' Out: Gilberto
46
Michel Araujo
' Out: Everton Ribeiro
74
Ademir
' Out: Erick Pulga
74
M. Sanabria
' Out:
85
statistics
53 Ball Possession 47
2 Goals 0
1.91 Expected Goals 0.57
match facts

REFEREE

F. Rodrigues De Souza

  • Flamengo holds a strong historical advantage, winning 4 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
  • Bahia's last victory over Flamengo was a 2-1 win in June 2024.
  • Recent encounters are high-scoring, with 5 of the last 8 matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
  • Flamengo's recent form is mixed, with just 1 win in their last 5 matches (W1, D1, L3).
  • Bahia comes into the match with better recent form, winning 2 of their last 3 games.
  • Flamengo averages 1.59 goals per game, higher than Bahia's 1.24.
  • Flamengo typically dominates possession, averaging 57.9% compared to Bahia's 50.1%.
  • Median statistics suggest Bahia may see slightly more possession in this match (53% to 47%).
  • Bahia's median yellow cards are higher (2 vs 1), indicating a potentially more aggressive approach.
  • The overall prediction heavily favors Flamengo not to lose, with a 90% double chance (Home/Draw).
  • Head-to-head history is the biggest predictive factor, favoring Flamengo at 80%.
  • Flamengo's attacking strength is highlighted by an 83% goals comparison advantage.
Last Updated: 17 Apr 2026 07:21 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
59 Corners 38
111 Fouls 125
20 Offsides 14
144 Shots 105
57 Shots on Goal 37
17 Yellow Cards 25
2 Red Cards 7
27 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 27
5 Clean Sheets 0
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
12
7
3
2
10
24
#4
12
6
3
3
3
21
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.57
Betano
4.45
Pinnacle
7.50
Unibet
100.50 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
1.57
4.30
6.40
97.49%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.53
4.40
6.40
96.42%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
1.52
4.10
5.90
93.35%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.51
4.45
6.79
96.69%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.51
4.42
6.43
95.78%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.10
Betano
2.52
Pinnacle
6.74
Pinnacle
97.91 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
2.10
2.25
5.90
91.73%
SBO SBO Logo
2.04
2.24
5.80
90.17%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.02
2.52
6.74
96.13%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
2.00
2.35
5.50
90.31%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.00
2.38
6.00
92.01%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.85
10Bet
2.88
Unibet
5.75
Unibet
94.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
10Bet 10Bet Logo
1.85
2.60
5.25
89.64%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.85
2.50
5.50
89.10%
Betano Betano Logo
1.85
2.72
5.20
90.87%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
1.85
2.50
5.50
89.10%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.83
2.60
5.50
89.86%