Bahia vs Cruzeiro
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bahia
Cruzeiro
|
Probability %
1
x
2
46%
28%
26%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.58
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bahia
Cruzeiro
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
52%
48%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.58
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HŠ¢/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bahia
Cruzeiro
|
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
26%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bahia
Cruzeiro
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
53%
47%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.58
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bahia
Cruzeiro
|
Probability %
61%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.58
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro
Bahia have been in poor form lately, with three matches without a win, including two draws and a loss. They have been conceding goals regularly and look shaky at the back. Cruzeiro, on the other hand, have won their last two matches, scoring several goals and looking much sharper in attack.
The recent meetings between these two teams have seen a lot of goals, with four of the last six matches ending with three or more goals. Given Bahia's struggles and Cruzeiro's strong recent form, this match looks fairly open and likely to have goals, but with the away side looking the stronger team overall.
Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:20 PM- This Serie A 2026-2027 fixture sees Bahia host Cruzeiro in a match that is statistically a toss-up, with both teams given a 45% chance to win or draw.
- Bahia are winless in their last four matches across all competitions, drawing their last two 2-2.
- Cruzeiro are in fine form, winning their last two away fixtures, including a 3-1 victory on the road.
- In head-to-head history, Cruzeiro have dominated, winning four of the last six meetings, while Bahia have failed to win any (D2 L4).
- The most recent H2H clash ended 1-1 in October 2024, which is the only draw in the last six encounters.
- Bahia average 1.25 goals per game this season, but their recent defensive struggles have seen them concede two goals in each of their last two home games.
- Cruzeiro hold a slight edge in possession (54.24%) compared to Bahia (50.21%), suggesting they may control the midfield.
- Despite Bahiaās higher average shots per game (13.52 vs. 14.09 for Cruzeiro), the visitors are more clinical in front of goal.
- The prediction model heavily favors Cruzeiro for goals (63%) and overall performance (54%), with Bahia only leading in the Poisson distribution factor (77%).
- Bet365 offers the best odds for a Draw or Cruzeiro double chance at 1.80, reflecting the perceived safety of that bet.
- Discipline could be a factor: Cruzeiro average 2 yellow cards per match, slightly more than Bahiaās 1.5.
- The match is scheduled for May 10, 2026, with no official stadium named, adding a layer of unpredictability to the venue.
Total
Per Match
23
Corners
24
77
Fouls
68
18
Offsides
18
71
Shots
73
22
Shots on Goal
22
11
Yellow Cards
12
0
Red Cards
3
9
Goals
8
8
Goals Conceded
9
1
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for BAH 
Serie A 2026-2027
03 MAY, 2026
Bahia
2
Sao Paulo
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
25 APR, 2026
Bahia
2
Santos
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
19 APR, 2026
Bahia
0
Flamengo
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 APR, 2026
Bahia
2
Mirassol
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Bahia
1
Palmeiras
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
01 APR, 2026
Bahia
3
Atletico Paranaense
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Bahia
1
remo
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
18 MAR, 2026
Bahia
2
RB Bragantino
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 MAR, 2026
Bahia
1
Internacional
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 MAR, 2026
Bahia
1
Vitoria
1
D
Last matches for CRU
Serie A 2026-2027
03 MAY, 2026
Cruzeiro
1
Atletico-MG
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
25 APR, 2026
Cruzeiro
1
remo
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
18 APR, 2026
Cruzeiro
2
Gremio
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 APR, 2026
Cruzeiro
2
RB Bragantino
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
04 APR, 2026
Cruzeiro
1
Sao Paulo
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
01 APR, 2026
Cruzeiro
3
Vitoria
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Cruzeiro
0
Santos
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
18 MAR, 2026
Cruzeiro
1
Atletico Paranaense
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 MAR, 2026
Cruzeiro
0
Flamengo
2
L
Mineiro – 1 2026-2027
21 FEB, 2026
Cruzeiro
2
Pouso Alegre
1
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.13
Dafabet
3.45
Unibet
3.70
Bet365
97.12 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet
2.13
3.45
3.55
96.06%
1xBet
Bonus
2.11
3.42
3.64
96.06%
Betano
2.10
3.35
3.65
95.36%
Pinnacle
2.08
3.42
3.64
95.43%
SBO
2.08
3.07
3.10
88.57%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.70
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
4.29
Pinnacle
94.88 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano
2.70
2.12
4.00
91.57%
Pinnacle
2.69
2.22
4.29
94.76%
Marathonbet
2.66
2.04
4.20
90.56%
1xBet
Bonus
2.66
2.04
4.20
90.56%
Unibet
2.65
2.20
3.90
91.89%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.45
William Hill
2.60
Unibet
3.75
10Bet
94.39 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.45
2.30
3.70
89.83%
Betano
2.45
2.37
3.75
91.18%
888Sport
Bonus
2.45
2.30
3.70
89.83%
Unibet
2.40
2.60
3.50
92.00%
Marathonbet
2.39
2.40
3.70
90.47%
