Botafogo vs Fluminense

Botafogo
d l w d w
1 - 1
1.06
xG
0.94
Full Time
Fluminense
l d d d d
Alex Telles
44'
Ignácio
58'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Botafogo or draw

Botafogo are hosting Fluminense in a Serie A match. Botafogo have had a mixed run lately, with a couple of draws and a loss, but they did manage a win in their last away game. Fluminense, on the other hand, are really struggling to find a win, having drawn their last four matches in a row and lost the one before that. They’re finding it hard to get over the line.

When these two teams have met recently, the games have been very tight and low-scoring, with most matches finishing 1-0 or 0-1. There haven’t been many goals in their recent head-to-heads. This match looks like it will be a very close and cautious affair. Based on their better recent form, Botafogo look the more likely side to edge it, but a draw wouldn’t be a surprise.

Last Updated: 06 Aug 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
Warleson
7.3
 
Alex Telles
 
Vitinho
 
Danilo
 
C. Medina
 
Á. Montoro
 
Lucas Villalba
 
Arthur Cabral
 
Fábio
 
Renê
 
Jemmes
8.9
 
Ignácio
7.2
 
Samuel Xavier
5.9
 
Nonato
 
Otavio
 
K. Serna
 
Ganso
 
Y. Soteldo
 
R. Castillo
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Botafogo
' Out:
59
70
Substitutes for Fluminense
70
' Out: Ganso
70
79
79' Out: Nonato
79
' Out: R. Castillo
85
statistics
40 Ball Possession 60
1 Goals 1
1.06 Expected Goals 0.94
match facts

REFEREE

B. Arleu

  • Botafogo and Fluminense have met 18 times since 2020, with Botafogo winning eight while Fluminense claimed seven victories.
  • In their most recent clash (Feb 2026), Fluminense edged a 1-0 victory, but Botafogo won the reverse fixture 1-0 just 11 days earlier.
  • Any team winning back-to-back against their rival here would be a rarity, as both clubs have never strung three consecutive wins in this head-to-head run.
  • In head-to-head matches, Botafogo have won 40% of the time, while Fluminense hold the edge at 60%.
  • Fluminense's last five away matches have been unusually low-scoring, with four consecutive 1-1 draws followed by a 1-0 loss.
  • Meanwhile, Botafogo's last five matches have seen under 2.5 goals on every occasion, with only two goals scored in total across their last three home games.
  • Botafogo's attack (63%) and form (67%) rank higher than Fluminense's according to pre-match comparisons, but Fluminense edges the goalscoring projection at 56%.
  • Fluminense dominate possession with an average of 55.5%, compared to Botafogo's 49.1%, yet their goalscoring averages are nearly identical (1.31 vs 1.29).
  • Both teams average over 13 shots per game — Botafogo 13.42, Fluminense 12.82 — suggesting a potentially open contest.
  • Bookmakers' highest-value prediction is "Double Chance: Botafogo or Draw" at 1.45 odds with Betano, implying a 45% chance for either outcome.
  • Interestingly, the prediction model gives Botafogo and the draw an identical 45% chance of victory, while Fluminense are considered massive underdogs at just 10%.
  • Recent history at Botafogo's home turf is evenly split — in the last 10 meetings, home wins and away victories are exactly balanced at four each, with two draws.
Last Updated: 06 Aug 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
45 Corners 46
175 Fouls 163
14 Offsides 14
130 Shots 116
47 Shots on Goal 40
55 Yellow Cards 43
1 Red Cards 3
17 Goals 19
19 Goals Conceded 17
6 Clean Sheets 8
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
28
13
9
6
8
48
#12
28
9
8
11
-4
35