Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama

Fluminense
d d w w d
1 - 0
Full Time
Vasco DA Gama
d d l l w
L. Acosta
61'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Fluminense

Fluminense are hosting Vasco da Gama, and neither side is in particularly great shape right now. The home team has gone five games without a win, drawing three and losing two, with those draws including a high-scoring 3-3. Vasco, meanwhile, have lost their last two matches, conceding plenty of goals, though they did pick up a solid away win just before that. Their recent meetings have often been close, with a lot of draws and tight scorelines, but goals have been common in the latest clashes, including a 3-2 game recently.

This looks like a match where both teams are struggling for consistency, but Fluminense are playing at home and have shown slightly more defensive solidity than their opponents. Vasco have been leaking goals on their travels recently, which could make the difference. Given the home advantage and the visitors' shaky form, Fluminense looks the more likely side to come out on top, but a draw wouldn't be a surprise either.

Last Updated: 03 Sep 2026 06:01 PM
starting lineups
 
Fábio
 
Renê
 
Julián Millán
6.66
 
Ignácio
 
Guga
 
Matheus Martinelli
 
Nonato
7.34
 
Y. Soteldo
 
Ganso
 
A. Canobbio
6.28
 
Hulk
 
Leo Jardim
 
Lucas Piton
 
Robert Renan
6.12
 
Paulo Henrique
 
Thiago Mendes
 
S. Sosa
 
Tche Tche
 
Bruno Duarte
6.49
 
F. Colidio
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Fluminense
' Out: Ganso
58
74' Out: Y. Soteldo
74
85' Out: Hulk
85
' Out: Guga
85
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
60
74' Out: Paulo Henrique
74
' Out:
84
84' Out: Adson
84
statistics
45 Ball Possession 55
1 Goals 0
match facts

REFEREE

D. Lacerda

  • Fluminense come into this Serie A 2026-27 clash with a solid 45% win probability, while Vasco da Gama are significant underdogs at just 10%.
  • In their last 14 head-to-head meetings, Vasco da Gama have dominated with 8 wins compared to Fluminense's 3, but the most recent clash in March 2026 ended in a 3-2 Vasco victory.
  • Fluminense are winless in their last five matches across all competitions, drawing three and losing two, with their last outing ending 3-3.
  • Vasco da Gama's away form is concerning, having lost their last two on the road—conceding seven goals in the process, including a 4-1 defeat.
  • Despite their poor recent form, Fluminense hold the edge in attacking stats, averaging 1.33 goals per game compared to Vasco's 1.15.
  • The hosts dominate possession on average with 55.67%, while Vasco manage just over 50% — a gap that could prove crucial in midfield.
  • Fluminense's defensive record is notably stronger, ranking 56% in defensive comparison versus Vasco's 44%.
  • The prediction model heavily favors Fluminense in Poisson distribution (70%), suggesting they are more likely to create clear scoring chances.
  • However, head-to-head data tells a different story, giving Vasco da Gama a 62% edge based on historical encounters.
  • Both teams show similar shot output, with the median stats revealing Vasco slightly ahead in shots at 9.5 per game compared to Fluminense's 8.
  • Fluminense are predicted to win by the algorithm, with the best odds for a home victory offered at 1.78 by 1xBet.
  • In their last five matches, Fluminense have averaged just 1.4 goals scored per game, highlighting a potential low-scoring affair despite the high-stakes rivalry.
Last Updated: 03 Sep 2026 06:01 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
43 Corners 49
146 Fouls 162
9 Offsides 14
129 Shots 126
49 Shots on Goal 37
44 Yellow Cards 45
2 Red Cards 2
20 Goals 15
15 Goals Conceded 20
6 Clean Sheets 2
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
29
14
9
6
12
51
#12
30
9
9
12
-6
36