Looking at the recent form, Excelsior seems to be in decent shape. They have two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games, showing they can get results. AZ Alkmaar, though, has been struggling to win lately. They have four draws and one loss in their last five matches, which means they aren't finding ways to pick up victories.

When these two teams meet, the games often have goals. In their last six matches, there haven't been any boring 0-0 stalemates, with most games seeing at least two or three goals. This is a very close match. However, given that AZ Alkmaar hasn't won in a while and Excelsior has been winning more often, I believe Excelsior will win this game.