FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart

FSV Mainz 05
w w l d d
2 - 2
2.73
xG
0.98
Full Time
VfB Stuttgart
w l w d w
Lee Jae-Sung
39'
D. da Costa
90'
Ermedin Demirović
76'
Deniz Undav
77'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart

Mainz have been finding it tough to get a win lately, with a couple of draws and a couple of losses in their recent games. Stuttgart are also struggling for form, having lost most of their recent matches, including a heavy defeat last time out. When these two teams have met recently, the games have often been quite open with several goals scored.

Looking at how both sides are currently performing and their recent meetings, this match looks very evenly poised and could easily end in a draw.

Last Updated: 05 Mar 2026 10:46 AM
starting lineups
7.5
33
D. Batz
6.6
31
D. Kohr
6.6
4
S. Posch
8.5
21
D. da Costa
6.6
2
P. Mwene
7.3
7
Lee Jae-Sung
6.9
6
K. Sano
7.6
8
Paul Nebel
6.3
30
S. Widmer
7
23
S. Becker
6.5
20
P. Tietz
7.3
33
A. Nubel
7.3
7
M. Mittelstadt
6.6
24
J. Chabot
7.2
14
L. Jaquez
6.3
22
L. Assignon
7.2
6
A. Stiller
6.3
16
A. Karazor
6.9
10
C. Fuhrich
7.7
26
Deniz Undav
6.5
18
Jamie Leweling
6.9
9
Ermedin Demirović
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for FSV Mainz 05
Silas
74' Out: S. Becker
74
N. Weiper
85' Out: S. Widmer
85
A. Sieb
90' Out: Lee Jae-Sung
90
W. Boving
90' Out: Paul Nebel
90
N. Veratschnig
90' Out: D. da Costa
90
Substitutes for VfB Stuttgart
Nikolas Nartey
65' Out: L. Assignon
65
T. Tomas
75' Out: C. Fuhrich
75
F. Jeltsch
75' Out: L. Jaquez
75
R. Hendriks
84' Out: M. Mittelstadt
84
Jeremy Arevalo
84' Out: Deniz Undav
84
statistics
38 Ball Possession 62
2 Goals 2
2.73 Expected Goals 0.98
match facts

REFEREE

M. Jollenbeck

STADIUM

MEWA ARENA

LOCATION

Mainz

  • Mainz have won only one of their last five Bundesliga matches (D2, L2).
  • Stuttgart are on a five-match winless run in the league (D1, L4).
  • Stuttgart have won the last two head-to-head meetings, both by a 2-1 scoreline.
  • Mainz are winless in their last four home matches against Stuttgart (D2, L2).
  • Stuttgart average 54.7% possession this season, significantly higher than Mainz's 45.3%.
  • Stuttgart also average more shots (14.3) and goals (1.64) per game than Mainz.
  • Recent form analysis gives Stuttgart a 56% advantage over Mainz's 44%.
  • Head-to-head history strongly favors Stuttgart with a 71% historical advantage.
  • Overall prediction models give Stuttgart a 61.8% chance of avoiding defeat.
  • The match prediction is a double chance: Draw or VfB Stuttgart.
  • Both teams have struggled for clean sheets recently, conceding multiple goals in their last few games.
  • The highest odds for the predicted outcome (Draw/Away) are 1.40 with Betano.
Last Updated: 05 Mar 2026 10:46 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
61 Corners 59
163 Fouls 124
17 Offsides 17
158 Shots 156
45 Shots on Goal 68
24 Yellow Cards 25
1 Red Cards 1
14 Goals 26
26 Goals Conceded 14
2 Clean Sheets 2
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
31
17
6
8
20
57
#10
31
8
10
13
-10
34