Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig

Hamburger SV
d d w w d
1 - 2
0.55
xG
2.70
Full Time
RB Leipzig
d l w d d
F. Vieira
22'
Romulo Cardoso
36'
Y. Diomande
50'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Hamburger SV or draw

Hamburger SV have had a mixed run recently, with one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five matches. RB Leipzig are also drawing a lot of their games lately, with three draws and two wins in their last five.

When these two teams met earlier in the season, it was a close game with a few goals. Given both teams' recent form, this match looks like it could be a tight and competitive one.

Last Updated: 27 Feb 2026 02:44 PM
starting lineups
7.5
1
D. Heuer Fernandes
6.2
25
J. Torunarigha
6.9
44
L. Vuskovic
6.6
24
Nicolás Capaldo
7.2
28
M. Muheim
6.9
21
N. Remberg
7.3
20
F. Vieira
7.2
2
W. Mikelbrencis
6.7
27
P. Otele
6.9
11
R. Konigsdorffer
6.9
19
D. Downs
6.6
26
M. Vandevoordt
6.9
22
D. Raum
6.6
23
C. Lukeba
7.3
4
Willi Orbán
6.9
17
Ridle Baku
6.6
14
C. Baumgartner
6.3
13
N. Seiwald
6.2
10
B. Gruda
6.5
7
A. Nusa
7.3
40
Romulo Cardoso
8.5
49
Y. Diomande
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Hamburger SV
W. Omari
20' Out: Nicolás Capaldo
20
A. S. Lokonga
67' Out: R. Konigsdorffer
67
Y. Poulsen
67' Out: D. Downs
67
J. Dompe
67' Out: P. Otele
67
R. Philippe
87' Out: F. Vieira
87
Substitutes for RB Leipzig
E. Banzuzi
72' Out: A. Nusa
72
T. Gomis
72' Out: B. Gruda
72
B. Henrichs
90' Out: Y. Diomande
90
C. Harder
90' Out: Romulo Cardoso
90
statistics
42 Ball Possession 58
1 Goals 2
0.55 Expected Goals 2.70
match facts

REFEREE

B. Dankert

STADIUM

Volksparkstadion

LOCATION

Hamburg

  • Hamburger SV are unbeaten in their last five home Bundesliga matches (W1 D4).
  • RB Leipzig are on a five-match unbeaten run away from home (W2 D3).
  • The only previous meeting this season saw RB Leipzig win 2-1 at home.
  • Hamburger SV have averaged 57% possession this season, slightly higher than Leipzig's 55%.
  • Leipzig's median shot count (15) is higher than Hamburg's (10) this campaign.
  • Hamburg's defense is rated stronger (62%) than Leipzig's (38%) in pre-match comparisons.
  • Both teams have nearly identical average goals per match (Hamburg 1.81, Leipzig 1.79).
  • The head-to-head history strongly favors RB Leipzig (93% vs 7% in comparison).
  • Hamburg have received more yellow cards on average (median 3 vs Leipzig's 1).
  • The overall prediction comparison gives RB Leipzig a slight edge (58.5% vs 41.5%).
  • Key betting advice suggests a double chance on Hamburger SV or Draw at odds of 1.75.
  • Match prediction percentages are split evenly for a Hamburg win or draw (35% each).
Last Updated: 27 Feb 2026 02:44 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
9 Corners 12
20 Fouls 25
2 Offsides 0
22 Shots 23
6 Shots on Goal 9
4 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goals 4
4 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
30
18
5
7
22
59
#14
30
7
10
13
-15
31