Manchester City vs Real Madrid

Manchester City
w w d l d
1 - 2
1.91
xG
2.29
Full Time
Real Madrid
w l w w w
E. Haaland
41'
VinĆ­cius JĆŗnior
22'
VinĆ­cius JĆŗnior
90'+3'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Real Madrid

Manchester City haven't been in great shape lately, with a loss and two draws in their last three matches. Real Madrid are also struggling, having lost their last two games quite heavily. When these two teams meet, it's often a very close and exciting contest; many of their recent games have had plenty of goals and have been very hard-fought.

Looking at how both teams are currently performing and their history of tight matches, this game looks very evenly matched. It has all the signs of being another close encounter that could easily end level.

Last Updated: 15 Mar 2026 07:21 PM
starting lineups
Ā 
G. Donnarumma
Ā 
R. AĆÆt-Nouri
Ā 
RĆŗben Dias
7.5
Ā 
A. Khusanov
Ā 
Matheus Nunes
Ā 
Rodri
3.9
Ā 
Bernardo Silva
Ā 
J. Doku
Ā 
T. Reijnders
Ā 
R. Cherki
7.2
Ā 
E. Haaland
Ā 
T. Courtois
Ā 
Fran GarcĆ­a
Ā 
Dean Huijsen
Ā 
A. Rüdiger
7.2
Ā 
T. Alexander-Arnold
Ā 
A. Güler
Ā 
A. TchouamƩni
Ā 
T. Pitarch
Ā 
F. Valverde
6.2
Ā 
VinĆ­cius JĆŗnior
Ā 
Brahim DĆ­az
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Manchester City
M. Guehi
' Out: RĆŗben Dias
46
N. AkƩ
' Out: T. Reijnders
46
Omar Marmoush
57' Out: E. Haaland
57
A. Semenyo
' Out: Matheus Nunes
57
Nico GonzƔlez
' Out: Rodri
74
Substitutes for Real Madrid
A. Lunin
' Out: T. Courtois
46
K. MbappƩ
' Out: Brahim DĆ­az
69
E. Camavinga
' Out: A. Güler
74
M. A. Moran
' Out: T. Pitarch
74
Dani Carvajal
83' Out: T. Alexander-Arnold
83
statistics
48 Ball Possession 52
1 Goals 2
1.91 Expected Goals 2.29
match facts

REFEREE

C. Turpin

  • This is a UEFA Champions League knockout stage fixture between Manchester City and Real Madrid.
  • Manchester City have won only 2 of their last 10 matches against Real Madrid (D3 L5).
  • Real Madrid have the historical edge in the head-to-head, winning 5 of the last 10 encounters.
  • Both teams are coming off a 3-0 defeat in their most recent match, which was against each other on March 11.
  • Manchester City are unbeaten in their last two home matches against Real Madrid (W1 D1).
  • City's recent form is mixed, with just 1 win in their last 5 matches across all competitions.
  • Real Madrid have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Manchester City average higher possession (63.8%) and more goals per game (2.23) than Real Madrid this season.
  • The statistical prediction model heavily favors Real Madrid with a 63.5% chance of advancing.
  • Key battle metrics show Real Madrid with a significant advantage in attack (74%) and head-to-head history (71%).
  • The most likely result according to the data is a draw or Real Madrid win, with odds of 2.71 available.
  • The match prediction is split evenly between a draw (45%) and an away win (45%).
Last Updated: 15 Mar 2026 07:21 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
81 Corners 44
134 Fouls 113
14 Offsides 11
167 Shots 143
73 Shots on Goal 55
23 Yellow Cards 19
1 Red Cards 0
20 Goals 23
23 Goals Conceded 20
1 Clean Sheets 1
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
14
9
0
5
13
27
#19
10
5
1
4
2
16