Nacional vs Arouca
Nacional and Arouca are both coming into this match in similar form, as each side has lost more games than they’ve won recently. Nacional has lost three of their last five games, while Arouca has lost three and drawn one of their last five. Neither team looks to be in great shape, and goals have been fairly common in both of their recent matches—especially for Arouca, who have seen three or more goals in four of their last five away games.
When these two teams have faced each other before, the games have often been tight and low-scoring: two of the last four meetings had only one goal, and the other two had three goals each. Given that both clubs are struggling for wins and their head-to-heads tend to be close, this looks like a match that could go either way. A draw seems the most likely outcome, as neither side has a clear advantage right now.
Last Updated: 06 Jul 2026 07:36 PMWHO WILL WIN?
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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
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- Nacional and Arouca are nearly identical in average goals per game this season (1.06 vs 1.05), suggesting a very tight, low-scoring contest.
- Arouca have lost their last two away matches, while Nacional have lost three of their last five overall.
- The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with each side winning two of the last four meetings.
- Nacional's last home victory came in April 2026—a 2-0 win—but they have since lost two consecutive home games.
- Arouca's only win in the last five matches was a 3-1 away victory, showing they can score on the road.
- Both teams average nearly the same number of shots per game (11.74 for Nacional, 11.33 for Arouca), making for an evenly matched midfield battle.
- Arouca hold a slight edge in average possession (51% vs 48.34%), which could help them control the tempo away from home.
- Nacional have failed to score in four of their last five matches, a worrying trend for the home side.
- In the most recent head-to-head fixture (Feb 2026), Arouca won 3-0—their biggest victory in recent meetings.
- Only one of the last four encounters has been decided by more than one goal (Arouca's 3-0 win), highlighting how close these sides are.
- Median stats show Nacional take 12.5 shots per game but concede 41% possession, suggesting they rely on quick attacks rather than ball retention.
- Arouca's median yellow card count is just 1.5 per game, indicating they are a relatively disciplined side away from home.
Last matches for NAC
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
2
Guimaraes
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Santa Clara
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
1
AVS
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
2
Tondela
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
1
Alverca
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Benfica
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
2
Estrela
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Famalicao
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
0
Estoril
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
1
Moreirense
1
Last matches for ARO
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
3
Tondela
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
3
GIL Vicente
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
2
Santa Clara
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
1
Alverca
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
1
Estrela
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
0
SC Braga
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
3
Estoril
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
1
Moreirense
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
1
Benfica
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Arouca
0
Famalicao
1
