Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid

Rayo Vallecano
w l l l d
3 - 0
1.61
xG
0.70
Full Time
Atletico Madrid
d w l d l
F. Perez
40'
O. Valentin
45'
N. Mendy
76'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid and -3.5 goals

Rayo Vallecano have been struggling for wins recently, with just one victory in their last five matches. They have lost three of those games, including a heavy defeat, and have also drawn a low-scoring match.

Atletico Madrid have found wins hard to come by lately as well, drawing most of their recent games. In their recent meetings, these teams have often played close, low-scoring matches, though their last game was a more open contest with several goals.

Last Updated: 12 Feb 2026 10:46 AM
starting lineups
7.7
13
A. Batalla
7.3
22
Pacha
8.2
32
N. Mendy
7.9
24
F. Lejeune
8.2
2
A. Ratiu
7.3
23
O. Valentin
7.6
21
F. Perez
6.9
15
G. Gumbau
6.9
7
I. Palazon
7.5
12
I. Akhomach
5.9
19
J. de Frutos
7.2
13
J. Oblak
6.2
3
M. Ruggeri
6
15
Clément Lenglet
6.6
2
J. Giménez
6.7
16
N. Molina
6.2
5
Johnny Cardoso
6
23
N. González
6.5
10
A. Baena
6.7
4
R. Mendoza
6.9
11
T. Almada
6.3
9
A. Sørloth
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Rayo Vallecano
J. Vertrouwd
64' Out: J. de Frutos
64
P. Diaz
64' Out: I. Palazon
64
A. Garcia
64' Out: F. Perez
64
R. Nteka
74' Out: I. Akhomach
74
U. Lopez
83' Out: G. Gumbau
83
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid
Robin Le Normand
56' Out: R. Mendoza
56
O. Vargas
56' Out: M. Ruggeri
56
Julián Álvarez
56' Out: A. Baena
56
Marcos Llorente
63' Out: Johnny Cardoso
63
A. Lookman
63' Out: Clément Lenglet
63
statistics
41 Ball Possession 59
3 Goals 0
1.61 Expected Goals 0.70
match facts

REFEREE

R. De Burgos Bengoetxea

  • This is a La Liga 2025-2026 fixture between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid.
  • Atletico Madrid have dominated the recent head-to-head, unbeaten in the last five meetings (W2, D3).
  • Rayo Vallecano's last win against Atletico in this fixture was over two years ago.
  • Rayo Vallecano's recent form is concerning, with just one win in their last five matches (W1, D1, L3).
  • Atletico Madrid are also struggling for wins recently, with only one victory in their last five outings (W1, D3, L1).
  • Both teams are coming off 0-0 draws in their most recent league matches.
  • Statistical models heavily favor Atletico Madrid, giving them a 77.3% chance of avoiding defeat.
  • Key prediction advice is a double chance on a draw or Atletico Madrid win.
  • Atletico Madrid have a massive 93% advantage in the head-to-head comparison metric.
  • Rayo Vallecano's defensive strength is rated at just 9% compared to Atletico's 91%.
  • Despite similar average possession, Rayo Vallecano averages significantly fewer goals per game (0.49 vs 0.83).
  • The highest odds for the predicted outcome (Draw/Away) are 1.24 from bookmaker 1xBet.
Last Updated: 12 Feb 2026 10:46 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
47 Corners 53
124 Fouls 111
17 Offsides 24
121 Shots 126
36 Shots on Goal 50
18 Yellow Cards 20
1 Red Cards 1
9 Goals 22
22 Goals Conceded 9
1 Clean Sheets 4
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
32
17
6
9
18
57
#13
32
8
12
12
-11
36