Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense

Fluminense
w l d d w
3 - 2
2.02
xG
0.54
Full Time
Atletico Paranaense
w d l l d
Hércules
9'
A. Canobbio
37'
90'+4'
S. Mendoza
5'
Luiz Gustavo
75'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Combo Double chance : Fluminense or draw and -3.5 goals

Looking at how these two teams have been playing lately, Fluminense has been in decent shape. They've won their last match and have been hard to beat, drawing a couple of others recently. On the other side, Atletico Paranaense has also been tough to defeat, with a couple of wins and draws in their recent games, showing they are in solid form.

When these teams have met in the past, the games have often been close, with several ending level. Given that both teams are coming in without many recent losses and their past meetings have been tight, this match looks very evenly balanced and could easily end in a draw.

Last Updated: 13 Mar 2026 07:32 AM
starting lineups
 
Fábio
 
J. Freytes
 
Ignácio
 
Samuel Xavier
 
Matheus Martinelli
8
 
Hércules
7.2
 
J. Savarino
 
L. Acosta
7.2
 
A. Canobbio
 
John Kennedy
 
Santos
 
L. Esquivel
 
Arthur Dias
 
C. Teran
7.2
 
S. Mendoza
7.9
 
Luiz Gustavo
 
G. Benavídez
4.9
 
B. Zapelli
 
Julimar
6.2
 
K. Viveros
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Fluminense
74
74
84' Out: Hércules
84
90
Substitutes for Atletico Paranaense
45
46
' Out:
46
90
statistics
79 Ball Possession 21
3 Goals 2
2.02 Expected Goals 0.54
match facts

REFEREE

M. Delgado Candançan

  • Fluminense are unbeaten in their last three matches (W1, D2).
  • Atletico Paranaense have lost just once in their last five outings (W2, D2, L1).
  • The last three head-to-head meetings have all ended in draws.
  • Fluminense have not beaten Atletico Paranaense at home in their last five attempts (D2, L3).
  • Fluminense averages higher possession (55.2%) compared to Atletico Paranaense (48.4%).
  • Both teams have very similar average goal records this season (1.23 vs 1.21).
  • Median statistics show Fluminense typically creates more shots (14 vs 10.5).
  • The overall prediction model gives Fluminense a slight edge (54% vs 46%).
  • Head-to-head history strongly favors Fluminense in the comparison (62% vs 38%).
  • Atletico Paranaense show a defensive strength advantage (57% vs 43%).
  • The most likely predicted outcome is a double chance: Fluminense or Draw.
  • The match is forecast to be low-scoring, with under 3.5 goals advised.
Last Updated: 13 Mar 2026 07:32 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
71 Corners 43
141 Fouls 166
19 Offsides 8
167 Shots 110
63 Shots on Goal 35
24 Yellow Cards 29
1 Red Cards 4
17 Goals 12
12 Goals Conceded 17
4 Clean Sheets 1
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
21
11
4
6
9
37
#4
21
9
7
5
5
34