Bahia vs Vitoria

Bahia
w d w w w
1 - 1
1.80
xG
0.43
Full Time
Vitoria
l w w d l
45'+6'
Ramon
45'+2'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Bahia or draw

Looking at how these two teams have been playing lately, both Bahia and Vitoria are struggling to find good form. Bahia has lost its last two matches, while Vitoria has not won any of its last five games. When these teams meet, it's often a close and exciting contest; four of their last five matches have ended in draws or with just a single goal deciding it.

Given that both sides are having a tough time and their recent head-to-head games have been very tight, this match looks set to be another close battle. Based on their current struggles and the history of close results between them, this game is most likely to end in a draw.

Last Updated: 09 Mar 2026 10:45 PM
starting lineups
 
Ronaldo Strada
 
Luciano Juba
6.3
 
Santiago Ramos Mingo
 
Gabriel Xavier
 
Nicolas Acevedo
 
Erick
 
Rodrigo
 
Erick Pulga
 
Willian Jose
6.7
 
Lucas Arcanjo
7.2
 
Ramon
 
Edu
 
Caca
 
Nathan Mendes
 
Emmanuel Martinez
 
Baralhas
 
Caíque
 
Matheuzinho
 
Renato Kayzer
 
Marinho
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Bahia
74
' Out:
74
Substitutes for Vitoria
' Out: Marinho
61
' Out: Edu
71
90' Out: Ramon
90
statistics
62 Ball Possession 38
1 Goals 1
1.80 Expected Goals 0.43
match facts

REFEREE

R. Rodrigo Klein

  • This is a Serie A 2026-2027 fixture between Bahia and Vitoria.
  • The two sides met just four days ago, with Bahia losing 2-1 to Vitoria.
  • Bahia's recent form is mixed, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches.
  • Vitoria are on a poor run, failing to win any of their last five games (two draws, three losses).
  • Historically, this is a tight derby; the last five meetings have seen three draws.
  • Bahia's last home win against Vitoria in the head-to-head was back in March 2020.
  • Both teams average a similar number of shots per game (Bahia 13.54, Vitoria 13.79).
  • Possession stats are also very close, averaging just under 50% for each side.
  • Bahia has a slight edge in average goals scored per match (1.20 vs 1.02).
  • Prediction models heavily favor Bahia to avoid defeat, with a 90% double chance (Bahia or draw).
  • The head-to-head comparison gives Bahia a significant 71% advantage over Vitoria.
  • Defensive metrics strongly favor Bahia, rated 78% compared to Vitoria's 22%.
Last Updated: 09 Mar 2026 10:45 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
15 Corners 12
40 Fouls 43
4 Offsides 8
39 Shots 33
17 Shots on Goal 15
30 Yellow Cards 29
3 Red Cards 0
17 Goals 13
13 Goals Conceded 17
4 Clean Sheets 1
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
21
8
8
5
4
32
#13
21
7
5
9
-9
26