Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
Raniele
17'
Matheuzinho
52'
Breno Bidon
57'
Luciano
41'
Matheuzinho
89'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
|
Probability %
1
x
2
47%
30%
22%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.23
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
62%
38%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.23
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HŠ¢/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
|
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
26%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
45%
55%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.23
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
|
Probability %
59%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.23
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Combo Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo and -3.5 goals
Corinthians and Sao Paulo are set for a big derby match, and both teams are coming into it in poor form. Corinthians have lost their last two games and haven't won in four matches, while Sao Paulo have lost four of their last five and only managed a draw in the other. Neither side is playing well, so this looks like a very tight and cautious game.
When these two teams have met recently, there have been plenty of draws, with the last three meetings all ending level. Goals have been common in their recent clashes, but given both teams' current struggles, this match feels likely to be close and low-scoring. It's a difficult one to call, so a draw seems the most probable outcome.
Last Updated: 08 May 2026 07:20 PM6.2
Ā
Ā
6.9
Ā
7.3
Ā
6.9
Ā
Ā
Ā
7.9
Ā
Ā
Ā
5.9
Ā
6.2
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
7.2
Ā
Ā
6.5
Ā
REFEREE
A. Daronco
- In their last 17 meetings, Sao Paulo has won 8 times to Corinthians' 3, with 6 draws.
- The last 5 head-to-head matches have all ended with both teams scoring (BTTS).
- Sao Paulo has only won 1 of their last 8 away games across all competitions (D1, L6).
- Corinthians are winless in their last 4 matches, with 2 losses and 2 draws.
- Sao Paulo averages 58.34% possession per game, significantly more than Corinthians (54.17%).
- The prediction market heavily favors a draw or an away win, with a 45% chance for each.
- Sao Paulo holds a massive 80% attacking advantage over Corinthians based on pre-match stats.
- Despite poor recent form, Sao Paulo has a 71% historical head-to-head advantage over Corinthians.
- The bookmakers' highest odds tip is "Draw or Sao Paulo" at 1.78 on Betano.
- Corinthians average just 1.13 goals per game, while Sao Paulo scores 1.30.
- The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a prediction for under 3.5 goals.
- Sao Paulo has lost 4 of their last 5 away fixtures, making this a tough test at Corinthians.
3/
8/
7
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Corinthians
3
ā
2
10 May, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
1
ā
1
18 Jan, 2026
Paulista – A1 2026-2027
Paulista – A1 2026-2027
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
3
ā
1
29 Sep, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Corinthians
Corinthians
2
ā
2
16 Jun, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
1
ā
2
30 Jan, 2024
Paulista – A1 2024-2025
Paulista – A1 2024-2025
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2
ā
1
30 Sep, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Corinthians
Corinthians
1
ā
1
14 May, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1
ā
2
29 Jan, 2023
Paulista – A1 2023-2024
Paulista – A1 2023-2024
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
1
ā
1
11 Sep, 2022
Serie A 2022-2023
Serie A 2022-2023
Corinthians
Corinthians
1
ā
1
22 May, 2022
Serie A 2022-2023
Serie A 2022-2023
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2
ā
1
27 Mar, 2022
Paulista – A1 2022-2023
Paulista – A1 2022-2023
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
1
ā
0
05 Mar, 2022
Paulista – A1 2022-2023
Paulista – A1 2022-2023
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
1
ā
0
18 Oct, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Corinthians
Corinthians
0
ā
0
01 Jul, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
ā
2
03 May, 2021
Paulista – A1 2021-2022
Paulista – A1 2021-2022
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
1
ā
0
13 Dec, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2
ā
1
30 Aug, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
0
ā
0
15 Feb, 2020
Paulista – A1 2020-2021
Paulista – A1 2020-2021
Corinthians
Total
Per Match
87
Corners
102
4.8
Corners
5.7
238
Fouls
280
13.2
Fouls
15.6
23
Offsides
47
1.3
Offsides
2.6
199
Shots
216
11.1
Shots
12
71
Shots on Goal
84
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.7
39
Yellow Cards
59
2.2
Yellow Cards
3.3
5
Red Cards
0
0.3
Red Cards
0
19
Goals
24
1.1
Goals
1.3
24
Goals Conceded
19
1.3
Goals Conceded
1.1
3
Clean Sheets
4
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.2
Last matches for COR
Serie A 2026-2027
10 MAY, 2026
Corinthians
3
Sao Paulo
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
03 MAY, 2026
Corinthians
1
Mirassol
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Vasco DA Gama
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
18 APR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Vitoria
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
12 APR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Palmeiras
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Internacional
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
02 APR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Fluminense
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Flamengo
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
20 MAR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Chapecoense-sc
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
15 MAR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Santos
1
D
Last matches for SAO
Serie A 2026-2027
10 MAY, 2026
Sao Paulo
2
Corinthians
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
03 MAY, 2026
Sao Paulo
2
Bahia
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Mirassol
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
18 APR, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Vasco DA Gama
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 APR, 2026
Sao Paulo
0
Vitoria
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
04 APR, 2026
Sao Paulo
4
Cruzeiro
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
01 APR, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Internacional
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Sao Paulo
0
Palmeiras
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
18 MAR, 2026
Sao Paulo
0
Atletico-MG
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 MAR, 2026
Sao Paulo
2
Chapecoense-sc
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
2.05
Dafabet
3.20
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
96.97 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet
2.05
3.20
4.10
95.77%
Unibet
2.04
3.15
3.90
93.98%
Pinnacle
2.04
3.20
4.31
96.65%
1xBet
Bonus
2.04
3.18
4.22
96.00%
Betano
2.02
3.15
4.25
95.44%
SBO
2.01
3.02
3.87
91.99%
10Bet
2.00
3.05
4.10
93.30%
William Hill
2.00
2.90
3.90
90.81%
Unknown
2.00
3.20
4.00
94.12%
888Sport
Bonus
2.00
2.90
3.90
90.81%
Marathonbet
1.98
3.10
4.10
93.32%
Bet365
1.95
3.20
4.10
93.53%
Betfair
1.95
3.00
4.33
92.84%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.84
Pinnacle
2.06
Pinnacle
4.95
Pinnacle
96.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.84
2.06
4.95
96.19%
Unibet
2.80
1.97
4.60
92.41%
SBO
2.78
1.88
4.61
90.21%
10Bet
2.75
1.95
4.33
90.30%
Bet365
2.75
2.00
4.75
93.10%
Unknown
2.70
1.93
4.75
90.99%
Marathonbet
2.67
1.90
4.90
90.50%
1xBet
Bonus
2.67
1.90
4.90
90.50%
Betano
2.65
2.00
4.80
92.11%
888Sport
Bonus
2.63
2.00
4.20
89.42%
William Hill
2.62
2.00
4.20
89.30%
Betfair
2.60
2.00
4.50
90.35%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.48
Unibet
2.30
Unibet
4.35
Marathonbet
93.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Unibet
2.48
2.30
4.00
91.91%
William Hill
2.45
2.15
4.00
89.03%
Betano
2.45
2.22
4.20
91.18%
888Sport
Bonus
2.45
2.15
4.00
89.03%
Bet365
2.38
2.20
4.00
88.91%
10Bet
2.35
2.20
4.20
89.43%
Marathonbet
2.35
2.23
4.35
90.59%
1xBet
Bonus
2.35
2.23
4.35
90.59%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.51
Pinnacle
1.57
Pinnacle
96.59 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.51
1.57
13.80%
Betano
2.50
1.57
7.98%
Unibet
2.48
1.52
7.87%
1xBet
Bonus
2.47
1.57
4.84%
Marathonbet
2.42
1.54
5.36%
10Bet
2.40
1.55
18.87%
Bet365
2.40
1.53
13.65%
Betfair
2.40
1.50
18.47%
888Sport
Bonus
2.40
1.53
15.69%
Unknown
2.30
1.53
11.53%
SBO
-
-
-
-
31.92%
HIGHEST ODDS
11.00
Bet365
1.07
Betano
97.51 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
11.00
1.05
31.41%
Unknown
10.00
1.03
15.36%
William Hill
9.50
1.05
30.92%
Unibet
9.50
1.02
15.44%
Betfair
9.00
1.03
30.84%
Marathonbet
8.90
1.01
18.41%
1xBet
Bonus
8.90
1.01
10.17%
10Bet
8.00
1.05
30.84%
Betano
7.70
1.07
13.58%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
23.91%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.82%
HIGHEST ODDS
6.50
Bet365
1.12
Betano
95.54 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
6.50
1.11
23.68%
William Hill
6.00
1.10
23.43%
Unibet
6.00
1.08
30.64%
Betano
6.00
1.12
31.44%
888Sport
Bonus
6.00
1.10
30.91%
Marathonbet
5.90
1.07
18.44%
1xBet
Bonus
5.90
1.07
9.26%
10Bet
5.80
1.10
30.78%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.43
Pinnacle
3.02
Pinnacle
97.05 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.43
3.02
9.69%
1xBet
Bonus
1.43
2.94
6.09%
10Bet
1.40
2.80
46.81%
Bet365
1.40
2.85
8.59%
Marathonbet
1.39
2.86
6.06%
Unknown
1.38
2.74
15.29%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
91.83%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
31.03%
SBO
-
-
-
-
32.09%
Betano
-
-
-
-
13.73%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.53
10Bet
2.67
Pinnacle
97.26 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
10Bet
1.53
2.40
93.44%
Pinnacle
1.51
2.67
19.29%
Bet365
1.48
2.60
11.77%
Marathonbet
1.44
2.55
13.07%
1xBet
Bonus
1.44
2.55
13.07%
Unknown
1.43
2.57
18.36%
SBO
-
-
-
-
95.64%
Betano
-
-
-
-
23.74%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.44
Marathonbet
2.55
Marathonbet
92.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.44
2.55
11.44%
1xBet
Bonus
1.44
2.55
11.45%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.10
Bet365
1.70
10Bet
93.95 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.10
1.67
93.02%
Unibet
2.10
1.65
92.40%
Betfair
2.10
1.65
92.40%
Betano
2.07
1.70
93.34%
Marathonbet
2.06
1.66
91.92%
1xBet
Bonus
2.06
1.68
92.53%
10Bet
2.05
1.70
92.93%
William Hill
2.05
1.70
92.93%
Unknown
2.05
1.67
92.03%
888Sport
Bonus
2.05
1.70
92.93%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.25
Betano
1.36
William Hill
1.83
Betfair
48.04 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Betano
1.25
1.34
1.83
47.78%
Unibet
1.24
1.34
1.73
46.93%
1xBet
Bonus
1.23
1.36
1.80
47.53%
10Bet
1.22
1.30
1.75
46.29%
William Hill
1.22
1.36
1.75
47.03%
Bet365
1.22
1.36
1.80
47.38%
Betfair
1.22
1.33
1.83
47.21%
Unknown
1.22
1.30
1.73
46.15%
888Sport
Bonus
1.22
1.36
1.75
47.03%
Marathonbet
1.21
1.34
1.77
46.78%
SBO
1.19
1.30
1.82
46.32%
