Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

Corinthians
l d d w l
3 - 2
1.37
xG
1.02
Full Time
Sao Paulo
w l l w d
Raniele
17'
Matheuzinho
52'
Breno Bidon
57'
Luciano
41'
Matheuzinho
89'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Corinthians Corinthians
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Probability %
1 x 2
47%
30%
22%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.23
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Corinthians Corinthians
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
62%
38%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.23
Score Pred.
2-0
HŠ¢/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Corinthians Corinthians
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
26%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Corinthians Corinthians
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Probability %
Yes/ No
45%
55%
Pred
No
Avg. Goal
2.23
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Corinthians Corinthians
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Probability %
59%
Pred
Away -0.75
Avg. Goal
2.23
Score Pred.
2-0

Combo Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo and -3.5 goals

Corinthians and Sao Paulo are set for a big derby match, and both teams are coming into it in poor form. Corinthians have lost their last two games and haven't won in four matches, while Sao Paulo have lost four of their last five and only managed a draw in the other. Neither side is playing well, so this looks like a very tight and cautious game.

When these two teams have met recently, there have been plenty of draws, with the last three meetings all ending level. Goals have been common in their recent clashes, but given both teams' current struggles, this match feels likely to be close and low-scoring. It's a difficult one to call, so a draw seems the most probable outcome.

Last Updated: 08 May 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
6.2
Ā 
Matheus Bidu
Ā 
Gustavo Henrique
6.9
Ā 
Gabriel Paulista
7.3
Ā 
Matheuzinho
6.9
Ā 
Raniele
Ā 
J. Lingard
Ā 
R. Garro
7.9
Ā 
Breno Bidon
Ā 
Yuri Alberto
Ā 
Rafael
5.9
Ā 
E. DĆ­az
6.2
Ā 
Sabino
Ā 
Matheus Doria
Ā 
C. Soares
Ā 
Danielzinho
Ā 
Ferreira
7.2
Ā 
Luciano
Ā 
Artur
6.5
Ā 
Jonathan Calleri
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Corinthians
Dieguinho
' Out:
83
Z. Labyad
' Out: R. Garro
88
Pedro Raul
' Out: Yuri Alberto
88
Substitutes for Sao Paulo
Cauly
' Out: Ferreira
69
Luan Silva
' Out: Danielzinho
69
83' Out: E. DĆ­az
83
AndrƩ Silva
' Out:
90
statistics
49 Ball Possession 51
3 Goals 2
1.37 Expected Goals 1.02
match facts

REFEREE

A. Daronco

  • In their last 17 meetings, Sao Paulo has won 8 times to Corinthians' 3, with 6 draws.
  • The last 5 head-to-head matches have all ended with both teams scoring (BTTS).
  • Sao Paulo has only won 1 of their last 8 away games across all competitions (D1, L6).
  • Corinthians are winless in their last 4 matches, with 2 losses and 2 draws.
  • Sao Paulo averages 58.34% possession per game, significantly more than Corinthians (54.17%).
  • The prediction market heavily favors a draw or an away win, with a 45% chance for each.
  • Sao Paulo holds a massive 80% attacking advantage over Corinthians based on pre-match stats.
  • Despite poor recent form, Sao Paulo has a 71% historical head-to-head advantage over Corinthians.
  • The bookmakers' highest odds tip is "Draw or Sao Paulo" at 1.78 on Betano.
  • Corinthians average just 1.13 goals per game, while Sao Paulo scores 1.30.
  • The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a prediction for under 3.5 goals.
  • Sao Paulo has lost 4 of their last 5 away fixtures, making this a tough test at Corinthians.
Last Updated: 08 May 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
87 Corners 102
238 Fouls 280
23 Offsides 47
199 Shots 216
71 Shots on Goal 84
39 Yellow Cards 59
5 Red Cards 0
19 Goals 24
24 Goals Conceded 19
3 Clean Sheets 4
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
15
7
3
5
5
24
#15
15
4
6
5
-2
18
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.05
Dafabet
3.20
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
96.97 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
2.05
3.20
4.10
95.77%
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.04
3.15
3.90
93.98%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.04
3.20
4.31
96.65%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.04
3.18
4.22
96.00%
Betano Betano Logo
2.02
3.15
4.25
95.44%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.84
Pinnacle
2.06
Pinnacle
4.95
Pinnacle
96.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.84
2.06
4.95
96.19%
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.80
1.97
4.60
92.41%
SBO SBO Logo
2.78
1.88
4.61
90.21%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
2.75
1.95
4.33
90.30%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.75
2.00
4.75
93.10%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.48
Unibet
2.30
Unibet
4.35
Marathonbet
93.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.48
2.30
4.00
91.91%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.45
2.15
4.00
89.03%
Betano Betano Logo
2.45
2.22
4.20
91.18%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
2.45
2.15
4.00
89.03%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.38
2.20
4.00
88.91%