Corinthians vs Vasco DA Gama
Matheus Bidu
38'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
1
x
2
45%
28%
27%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.32
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
59%
41%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.32
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
|
HТ/FT Probability %
24%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
47%
53%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.32
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
61%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.32
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians have had a tough run lately, drawing their last two matches 0-0 and winning only one of their last five games. This shows they are struggling to score and find form. Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, have also been inconsistent, with a loss, a draw, and a win in their recent matches, but they look a bit more lively in attack. Looking at their past meetings, goals have been common—four of the last six matches saw three or more goals, including a 3-1 win for Vasco and a 4-2 win for Corinthians. This suggests the match could be open, with both teams likely to score.
Given that Corinthians are out of form and Vasco have shown more energy in recent games, this match feels very close. It could easily end in a draw, or Vasco might sneak a win. The smartest outcome here would be a draw.
Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Corinthians 
J. Lingard
' Out: Vitinho
63
' Out: R. Garro
77
F. Angileri
89' Out: Matheus Bidu
89
M. Pereira
' Out: Breno Bidon
89
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
J. Rojas
46' Out: Thiago Mendes
46
Lucas Piton
' Out: Cuiabano
46
Adson
63' Out: Tche Tche
63
C. Spinelli
' Out: David
68
Nuno Moreira
' Out: Paulo Henrique
78
REFEREE
D. de Oliveira Lacerda
- Corinthians and Vasco da Gama are set to face off in Serie A 2026-2027.
- Both teams average exactly 1.12 goals per match this season.
- Corinthians have drawn three of their last five matches, including two 0-0 stalemates.
- Vasco da Gama have lost two of their last five away games, with defeats by 2-1 margins.
- In head-to-head history, the away side has won the last two meetings between these clubs.
- Vasco da Gama secured a 3-1 win over Corinthians in their most recent encounter in November 2024.
- The prediction model gives Vasco a 64% advantage in the Poisson distribution for goals.
- Corinthians hold a 93% edge in head-to-head comparison, though recent results favor Vasco.
- Corinthians average 12.63 shots per game, slightly more than Vasco's 11.95.
- Bookmakers offer 1.80 odds for a Draw or Vasco da Gama double chance.
- The median stats show Corinthians with 57.5% possession and Vasco with 42.5%.
- Corinthians concede an average of 1.12 goals per game, matching their scoring average.
Total
Per Match
33
Corners
47
88
Fouls
96
6
Offsides
10
99
Shots
111
34
Shots on Goal
34
15
Yellow Cards
17
1
Red Cards
0
13
Goals
7
7
Goals Conceded
13
2
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for COR 
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Vasco DA Gama
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
18 APR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Vitoria
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
12 APR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Palmeiras
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Internacional
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
02 APR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Fluminense
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Flamengo
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
20 MAR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Chapecoense-sc
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
15 MAR, 2026
Corinthians
1
Santos
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
12 MAR, 2026
Corinthians
0
Coritiba
2
L
Paulista – A1 2026-2027
28 FEB, 2026
Corinthians
0
Novorizontino
1
L
Last matches for VAS
Serie A 2026-2027
26 APR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
Corinthians
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
18 APR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Sao Paulo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 APR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
remo
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
05 APR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
Botafogo
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
01 APR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
Coritiba
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
22 MAR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Gremio
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
19 MAR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
3
Fluminense
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 MAR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
3
Cruzeiro
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
12 MAR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Palmeiras
1
W
Carioca – 1 2026-2027
01 MAR, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
Fluminense
1
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.18
Dafabet
3.50
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
97.83 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet
2.18
3.35
3.55
96.25%
Pinnacle
2.17
3.38
3.60
96.67%
1xBet
Bonus
2.17
3.38
3.50
95.93%
Unknown
2.15
3.20
3.50
94.04%
SBO
2.15
3.05
3.36
91.69%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.09
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
4.56
Pinnacle
97.02 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.09
2.01
4.56
96.11%
Unibet
2.90
2.02
4.00
91.75%
SBO
2.89
1.91
4.19
90.23%
Bet365
2.88
2.05
4.33
93.81%
Betano
2.85
2.02
4.15
92.01%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.55
Unibet
2.43
Unibet
3.90
William Hill
94.33 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Unibet
2.55
2.43
3.55
92.13%
Bet365
2.50
2.25
3.60
89.11%
Marathonbet
2.49
2.27
3.80
90.47%
1xBet
Bonus
2.49
2.27
3.80
90.47%
Betano
2.47
2.37
3.65
90.85%
