Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund
l w l w w
4 - 0
2.32
xG
1.51
Full Time
FSV Mainz 05
w l w w w
S. Guirassy
10'
M. Beier
15'
S. Guirassy
42'
Ramy Bensebaini
84'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw

Borussia Dortmund's recent form has been mixed, with a couple of wins, a draw, and two losses in their last few games. Mainz, on the other hand, has been struggling, having lost most of their recent matches, with just one win and a draw.

Looking at their recent meetings, the games have been quite open with several goals scored. This suggests the upcoming match could be an exciting and closely contested one.

Last Updated: 11 Feb 2026 11:27 AM

WHO WILL WIN?

0%

0%

100%

Total votes: 1

starting lineups
8.9
1
G. Kobel
7.9
5
Ramy Bensebaini
7.6
3
W. Anton
6.9
25
N. Sule
6.6
24
D. Svensson
7.2
8
F. Nmecha
7
7
J. Bellingham
10
26
J. Ryerson
6.9
10
J. Brandt
7.6
14
M. Beier
8.2
9
S. Guirassy
6.6
33
D. Batz
5.6
31
D. Kohr
6.2
16
S. Bell
5.6
4
S. Posch
6.2
30
S. Widmer
6.2
7
Lee Jae-Sung
6.5
6
K. Sano
6.3
10
N. Amiri
6
21
D. da Costa
6.7
20
P. Tietz
6.7
26
Silas
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Borussia Dortmund
46' Out: N. Sule
46
C. Chukwuemeka
61' Out: J. Brandt
61
F. Silva
61' Out: M. Beier
61
M. Sabitzer
74' Out: F. Nmecha
74
K. Adeyemi
74' Out: S. Guirassy
74
Substitutes for FSV Mainz 05
K. Potulski
27' Out: S. Bell
27
Paul Nebel
60' Out: Lee Jae-Sung
60
S. Becker
60' Out: Silas
60
P. Mwene
61' Out: S. Widmer
61
N. Weiper
73' Out: P. Tietz
73
statistics
55 Ball Possession 45
4 Goals 0
2.32 Expected Goals 1.51
match facts

REFEREE

T. Welz

  • Borussia Dortmund hosts FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga 2025-2026.
  • In the last head-to-head meeting this season, Mainz won 2-0 at home.
  • Dortmund's recent form is mixed, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five.
  • Mainz are struggling for form, with four losses and just one win in their last five matches.
  • Dortmund averages 1.47 goals per game this season compared to Mainz's 1.15.
  • Dortmund typically dominates possession, averaging 56.2% to Mainz's 48.4%.
  • Median statistics suggest a close contest in possession, with a slight edge to the away side.
  • The overall prediction gives Dortmund a 45% chance of winning, with a draw also at 45%.
  • The 'Double Chance' market (Dortmund or Draw) is the advised prediction.
  • Poisson distribution analysis heavily favors a Dortmund result at 78%.
  • Both teams drew their most recent matches 0-0.
  • Mainz has lost three of their last four away fixtures.
Last Updated: 11 Feb 2026 11:27 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
49 Corners 44
111 Fouls 157
16 Offsides 27
167 Shots 126
65 Shots on Goal 50
17 Yellow Cards 25
1 Red Cards 1
23 Goals 14
14 Goals Conceded 23
3 Clean Sheets 1
last matches
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
33
21
7
5
34
70
#10
32
9
10
13
-9
37