Rayo Vallecano are coming into this match in solid form, having won two of their last five games and drawing the other two. They have only lost once in that run, so they are proving tough to beat. Real Madrid, on the other hand, have been struggling recently. They have lost three of their last five matches, winning just two, which shows they are not in their best shape at the moment.

When these two teams have met in the past, the games have often been close and competitive. Their last ten meetings have seen many draws, with four of them ending all square, and the matches have frequently produced a decent number of goals. Given Rayo Vallecano's strong recent form and Real Madrid's patchy results, this looks like a very tight contest. Based on the facts, the most likely outcome is a draw.